NYSE$NGVC

Natural Grocers By Vitamin C · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter fiscal 2024 results and raised fiscal 2024 outlook.

Natural Grocers reported a strong third quarter in fiscal year 2024, with net sales increasing by 9.7% to $309.1 million and net income rising by 30.2% to $9.2 million, driven by comparable store sales growth and effective expense management.

  • Net sales increased 9.7% to $309.1 million.
  • Daily average comparable store sales increased 7.2%.
  • Operating income increased 41.4% to $12.8 million.
  • Net income increased 30.2% to $9.2 million, with diluted earnings per share of $0.40.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$309M

Previous: $282M+9.7%
EPS

$0.40

Previous: $0.31+29.0%
Comp store sales growth

7.2%

Previous: 4.4%+63.6%
Gross margin

29.2%

Previous: 28.9%+1.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$31M

Previous: -$23.2M-33.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.8M

Previous: -$16.2M-34.9%
Net Income

$9.21M

Previous: $7.07M+30.2%
Operating Income

$12.8M

Previous: $9.08M+41.4%
Gross Profit

$90.3M

Previous: $81.4M+11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.9M

Previous: $8.58M+62.3%
Total Assets

$654M

Previous: $656M-0.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.06M

Previous: $333K+218.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Natural Grocers · Revenue · Quarterly

$309M

Q3 2024+9.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 10 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natural Grocers · $8.5M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Comparable store sales
    $6.4M
  • New store sales
    $2.1M

Forward guidance

The company is raising its fiscal 2024 outlook for daily average comparable store sales growth and diluted earnings per share. Additionally, the Company is refining its outlook for the number of new stores and relocations/remodels, and narrowing its capital expenditures range.

Tailwinds

  • Number of new stores: 4
  • Number of relocations/remodels: 5
  • Daily average comparable store sales growth: 6.0% to 7.0%
  • Diluted earnings per share: $1.27 to $1.34
  • Capital expenditures: $35 to $39 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+4.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

34 / 58 earnings

Positive

+44.7%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-5.2%+1.3%+7.7%
Q1 2026-0.1%-9.8%-4.1%
Q4 2025-6.6%-8.5%-17.0%
Q2 2025+31.5%+8.8%-1.3%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.5%-23.2%
Q4 2024+31.1%+33.9%+12.7%
Q3 2024+6.0%+0.3%+12.8%
Q2 2024+9.1%+13.1%+16.6%
Q1 2024+18.4%+4.1%+17.7%
Q4 2023+20.1%+28.6%+25.0%
Q3 2023+5.8%+5.3%+1.1%
Q2 2023+11.6%+4.1%+0.8%
Q1 2023-0.9%+2.3%+10.6%
Q4 2022-11.2%-10.1%-22.1%
Q3 2022-5.9%-8.7%-18.1%
Q2 2022-17.1%-11.0%-16.7%
Q1 2022+2.5%+11.6%+30.4%
Q4 2021+10.7%+17.0%+11.4%
Q3 2021+5.1%+4.3%+6.1%
Q2 2021-19.5%-25.4%-29.9%
Q1 2021-0.9%+0.2%-3.0%
Q4 2020+17.0%+24.9%+10.8%
Q3 2020-7.2%-16.3%-33.0%
Q2 2020+44.7%+27.6%+32.8%
Q1 2020-5.1%-5.0%-21.8%
Q4 2019+7.4%+5.8%+10.6%
Q3 2019+29.7%+17.1%+2.9%
Q2 2019+3.9%+5.5%-15.5%
Q1 2019-3.4%+0.2%-8.6%
Q4 2018+35.6%+29.7%+8.3%
Q3 2018+38.4%+31.4%+54.8%
Q2 2018+18.2%+33.2%+55.5%
Q1 2018-23.1%-15.3%-15.6%
Q4 2017+28.3%+32.0%+83.6%
Q3 2017-34.6%-30.3%-32.1%
Q2 2017-7.5%-7.0%-2.1%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.3%-3.9%
Q4 2016-5.2%-5.5%+5.7%
Q3 2016+1.5%-5.3%-9.0%
Q2 2016+2.6%
Q1 2016-12.9%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+20.0%
Q2 2015-12.2%
Q1 2015+9.8%
Q4 2014+20.1%
Q3 2014-13.4%
Q2 2014-35.0%
Q1 2014+13.3%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q4 2013-1.8%
Q3 2013-1.4%
Q2 2013+17.5%
Q2 2012+17.5%
Q1 2012+8.4%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q3 2012-5.8%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011

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