NYSE$NGVC

Natural Grocers By Vitamin C · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales increased slightly, driven by new stores and comparable store sales. Profitability declined due to higher store and administrative expenses.

Natural Grocers reported a slight increase in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2023, driven by new store sales and comparable store sales growth. However, net income and earnings per share decreased compared to the prior year due to increased store and administrative expenses.

  • Net sales increased by 1.1% to $280.5 million.
  • Daily average comparable store sales increased by 0.5%.
  • Net income was $4.4 million, with diluted earnings per share of $0.19.
  • The Company opened one new store.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$280M

Previous: $277M+1.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.19

Previous: $0.39-51.3%
Comp store sales growth

0.5%

Previous: 3.8%-86.8%
Capital Expenditures

$10.4M

Previous: -$4.66M+323.6%
Free Cash Flow

$10.8M

Previous: $4.26M+153.4%
Net Income

$4.4M

Previous: $8.92M-50.6%
Operating Income

$6.4M

Previous: $12M-46.8%
Gross Profit

$78.7M

Previous: $78.7M-0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.9M

Previous: $25.3M-33.2%
Total Assets

$659M

Previous: $654M+0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$357K

Previous: $294K+21.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Natural Grocers · Revenue · Quarterly

$280M

Q1 2023+1.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 10 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natural Grocers · $8.5M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Comparable store sales
    $6.4M
  • New store sales
    $2.1M

Forward guidance

The Company is reaffirming its fiscal 2023 outlook, reflecting recent results, current operating trends, consumer trends, and the uncertainty of the economic environment, including inflationary factors.

Tailwinds

  • Number of new stores: 4-6
  • Number of relocations/remodels: 1-2

Headwinds

  • Daily average comparable store sales growth: -2.0% to 1.0%
  • Diluted earnings per share: $0.70 to $0.90
  • Capital expenditures (in millions): $28 to $35

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+4.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

34 / 58 earnings

Positive

+44.7%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-5.2%+1.3%+7.7%
Q1 2026-0.1%-9.8%-4.1%
Q4 2025-6.6%-8.5%-17.0%
Q2 2025+31.5%+8.8%-1.3%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.5%-23.2%
Q4 2024+31.1%+33.9%+12.7%
Q3 2024+6.0%+0.3%+12.8%
Q2 2024+9.1%+13.1%+16.6%
Q1 2024+18.4%+4.1%+17.7%
Q4 2023+20.1%+28.6%+25.0%
Q3 2023+5.8%+5.3%+1.1%
Q2 2023+11.6%+4.1%+0.8%
Q1 2023-0.9%+2.3%+10.6%
Q4 2022-11.2%-10.1%-22.1%
Q3 2022-5.9%-8.7%-18.1%
Q2 2022-17.1%-11.0%-16.7%
Q1 2022+2.5%+11.6%+30.4%
Q4 2021+10.7%+17.0%+11.4%
Q3 2021+5.1%+4.3%+6.1%
Q2 2021-19.5%-25.4%-29.9%
Q1 2021-0.9%+0.2%-3.0%
Q4 2020+17.0%+24.9%+10.8%
Q3 2020-7.2%-16.3%-33.0%
Q2 2020+44.7%+27.6%+32.8%
Q1 2020-5.1%-5.0%-21.8%
Q4 2019+7.4%+5.8%+10.6%
Q3 2019+29.7%+17.1%+2.9%
Q2 2019+3.9%+5.5%-15.5%
Q1 2019-3.4%+0.2%-8.6%
Q4 2018+35.6%+29.7%+8.3%
Q3 2018+38.4%+31.4%+54.8%
Q2 2018+18.2%+33.2%+55.5%
Q1 2018-23.1%-15.3%-15.6%
Q4 2017+28.3%+32.0%+83.6%
Q3 2017-34.6%-30.3%-32.1%
Q2 2017-7.5%-7.0%-2.1%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.3%-3.9%
Q4 2016-5.2%-5.5%+5.7%
Q3 2016+1.5%-5.3%-9.0%
Q2 2016+2.6%
Q1 2016-12.9%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+20.0%
Q2 2015-12.2%
Q1 2015+9.8%
Q4 2014+20.1%
Q3 2014-13.4%
Q2 2014-35.0%
Q1 2014+13.3%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q4 2013-1.8%
Q3 2013-1.4%
Q2 2013+17.5%
Q2 2012+17.5%
Q1 2012+8.4%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q3 2012-5.8%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011

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