NYSE$MO

Altria Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced second-quarter results, reestablished full-year earnings guidance, announced IQOS expansion plans, and declared dividend increase.

Altria reestablished its full-year 2020 adjusted diluted EPS guidance and announced a dividend increase. The company's core tobacco businesses showed resilience, driving adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 8.5% in the first half of 2020.

  • Altria reestablished its 2020 full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance.
  • The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.86 per share, representing a new annualized dividend rate of $3.44 per share.
  • PM USA launched IQOS in Charlotte and plans to expand to four additional markets over the next 18 months.
  • Helix expanded on! distribution into 40,000 stores as of the end of the second quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.37B

Previous: $6.62B-3.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.09

Previous: $1.10-0.9%
Total Cigarette Share

42.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$106M

Previous: -$79M-34.2%
Free Cash Flow

$1.84B

Previous: $1.92B-4.2%
Net Income

$1.94B

Previous: $2B-2.7%
Operating Income

$2.8B

Previous: $2.72B+2.9%
Gross Profit

$3.29B

Previous: $3.32B-1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.83B

Previous: $1.8B+168.7%
Total Assets

$50.2B

Previous: $57.5B-12.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Altria · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.37B

Q2 2020-3.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Altria · $6.26B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Smokeable Products
    $5.6B
  • Oral Tobacco Products
    $660M

Forward guidance

Altria expects its 2020 full-year adjusted diluted EPS to be in a range of $4.21 to $4.38, representing a growth rate of 0% to 4% from an adjusted diluted EPS base of $4.21 in 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Better understanding of COVID-19 impacts on adult tobacco consumer purchasing behavior
  • Additional quarter of ABI earnings contributions
  • Expects 2020 full-year adjusted effective tax rate to be in a range of 24% to 26%
  • Continues to expect 2020 capital expenditures of between $200 million and $250 million
  • Expects depreciation and amortization expenses of approximately $240 million

Headwinds

  • External environment remains dynamic
  • Will continue to monitor ABI performance
  • Conditions for adult tobacco consumers, including unemployment rates
  • Disposable income (which may be impacted by potential changes in government stimulus and unemployment payments)
  • Purchasing behaviors

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+6.7%+2.1%
Q4 2025-5.2%+1.6%+9.4%
Q3 2025-7.8%-7.5%-4.8%
Q2 2025+3.6%+4.3%+13.2%
Q1 2025+1.0%+2.4%+2.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%-0.1%+6.1%
Q3 2024+6.7%+7.3%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-2.4%+6.4%
Q1 2024+1.1%+2.1%+6.0%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.2%+1.8%
Q3 2023-8.2%-6.2%-3.2%
Q2 2023-1.9%-3.1%-2.6%
Q1 2023+1.8%+1.0%-4.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+4.3%+3.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%-0.4%-3.4%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2022+1.2%+0.9%-0.9%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2021-7.1%-7.1%-7.9%
Q2 2021+0.9%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020-1.8%-0.6%+4.3%
Q3 2020-1.1%+3.3%+9.5%
Q2 2020-1.2%-2.3%+3.8%
Q1 2020-6.3%-9.1%-3.5%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.2%-19.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%+0.6%+8.1%
Q2 2019-6.4%-4.7%-12.0%
Q1 2019-3.5%-0.7%-4.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q3 2018+1.3%+5.7%-13.8%
Q2 2018+0.1%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.5%+0.3%-0.4%
Q4 2017-1.3%-5.4%-11.1%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+2.6%
Q2 2017-6.7%-8.7%-10.7%
Q1 2017-0.8%+0.2%+6.5%
Q4 2016+0.4%+0.2%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.1%+1.5%-0.1%
Q2 2016-1.2%-0.4%-3.1%
Q1 2016+1.9%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013-3.3%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-3.6%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2007+2.7%
Q4 2010+2.7%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q2 2010-1.4%
Q1 2009+1.2%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2008-0.7%
Q2 2009-0.7%
Q2 2008-0.7%

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