NYSE$MO

Altria Group Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Altria balanced maximizing profitability from core tobacco businesses with investing in smoke-free transition and expanded share repurchase program.

Altria reported a decrease in net revenues but an increase in adjusted diluted EPS. The company expanded its share repurchase program and narrowed its full-year earnings guidance.

  • Altria continued to balance maximizing profitability from its core tobacco businesses with investing to realize its Vision of responsibly leading the transition of adult smokers to a smoke-free future.
  • Tobacco businesses performed well against difficult year-over-year comparisons and Altria is encouraged by the significant retail share growth from on! in the third quarter.
  • Altria continued to reward shareholders with a strong and growing dividend and announced the expansion of its existing $2.0 billion share repurchase program to $3.5 billion.
  • Altria is raising the lower-end of its full-year 2021 guidance and now expect to deliver adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $4.58 to $4.62.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.53B

Previous: $7.12B-22.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.22

Previous: $1.19+2.5%
Total Cigarette Share

43.2%

Previous: 43.3%-0.2%
Capital Expenditures

$49M

Previous: -$162M+130.2%
Free Cash Flow

$3.01B

Previous: -$1.11B+370.6%
Net Income

-$2.72B

Previous: -$952M-185.9%
Operating Income

$2.95B

Previous: $3.16B-6.6%
Gross Profit

$3.67B

Previous: $3.72B-1.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.96B

Previous: $4.12B-28.3%
Total Assets

$39.6B

Previous: $46.7B-15.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Altria · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.53B

Q3 2021-22.4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Altria · $6.6B total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Smokeable Products
    $5.98B-5.4%
  • Oral Tobacco Products
    $626M-2.2%

Forward guidance

Altria narrows its guidance for 2021 full-year adjusted diluted EPS to be in a range of $4.58 to $4.62, representing a growth rate of 5% to 6% from an adjusted diluted EPS base of $4.36 in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Planned investments in support of its Vision
  • Marketplace investments to expand the availability and awareness of Altria’s smoke-free products
  • Costs associated with building an industry-leading consumer engagement platform that enhances data collection and insights in support of ATC transition to smoke-free products
  • Increased smoke-free product research and development expense
  • Full-year adjusted effective tax rate will be in a range of 24.5% to 25.5%

Headwinds

  • Conditions related to the economy (including unemployment rates and the impact of increased inflation)
  • ATC dynamics, including stay-at-home practices, disposable income, purchasing patterns and adoption of smoke-free products
  • Regulatory and legislative (including excise tax) developments
  • Timing and extent of COVID-19 vaccine administration and the impact of COVID-19 variants
  • External environment remains dynamic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+6.7%+2.1%
Q4 2025-5.2%+1.6%+9.4%
Q3 2025-7.8%-7.5%-4.8%
Q2 2025+3.6%+4.3%+13.2%
Q1 2025+1.0%+2.4%+2.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%-0.1%+6.1%
Q3 2024+6.7%+7.3%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-2.4%+6.4%
Q1 2024+1.1%+2.1%+6.0%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.2%+1.8%
Q3 2023-8.2%-6.2%-3.2%
Q2 2023-1.9%-3.1%-2.6%
Q1 2023+1.8%+1.0%-4.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+4.3%+3.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%-0.4%-3.4%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2022+1.2%+0.9%-0.9%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2021-7.1%-7.1%-7.9%
Q2 2021+0.9%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020-1.8%-0.6%+4.3%
Q3 2020-1.1%+3.3%+9.5%
Q2 2020-1.2%-2.3%+3.8%
Q1 2020-6.3%-9.1%-3.5%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.2%-19.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%+0.6%+8.1%
Q2 2019-6.4%-4.7%-12.0%
Q1 2019-3.5%-0.7%-4.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q3 2018+1.3%+5.7%-13.8%
Q2 2018+0.1%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.5%+0.3%-0.4%
Q4 2017-1.3%-5.4%-11.1%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+2.6%
Q2 2017-6.7%-8.7%-10.7%
Q1 2017-0.8%+0.2%+6.5%
Q4 2016+0.4%+0.2%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.1%+1.5%-0.1%
Q2 2016-1.2%-0.4%-3.1%
Q1 2016+1.9%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013-3.3%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-3.6%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2007+2.7%
Q4 2010+2.7%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q2 2010-1.4%
Q1 2009+1.2%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2008-0.7%
Q2 2009-0.7%
Q2 2008-0.7%

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