NYSE$MO

Altria Group Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Altria delivered strong second-quarter results driven by tobacco businesses.

Altria reported outstanding results in the second quarter, driven by the strength of its tobacco businesses. The company has narrowed its full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $4.56 to $4.62, reflecting confidence in its tobacco businesses and investments in smoke-free products.

  • Net revenues increased by 8.9% to $6.936 billion.
  • Reported diluted EPS increased by 11.5% to $1.16.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 12.8% to $1.23.
  • Full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance narrowed to $4.56 to $4.62.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.61B

Previous: $6.37B-11.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.23

Previous: $1.09+12.8%
Total Cigarette Share

43.2%

Previous: 42.8%+0.9%
Capital Expenditures

$27M

Previous: -$106M+125.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$388M

Previous: $1.84B-121.1%
Net Income

$2.15B

Previous: $1.94B+10.7%
Operating Income

$3.19B

Previous: $2.8B+13.9%
Gross Profit

$3.73B

Previous: $3.29B+13.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.88B

Previous: $4.83B-61.1%
Total Assets

$44.4B

Previous: $50.2B-11.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Altria · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.61B

Q2 2021-11.8%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Altria · $6.74B total across 2 segments · Q2 2021

  • Smokeable Products
    $6.05B+8.0%
  • Oral Tobacco Products
    $693M+5.0%

Forward guidance

Altria narrows its guidance for 2021 full-year adjusted diluted EPS to be in a range of $4.56 to $4.62, representing a growth rate of 4.5% to 6% from an adjusted diluted EPS base of $4.36 in 2020. This range includes the estimated impact of the recently announced Ste. Michelle Transaction, which is expected to close in the second half of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Marketplace investments to expand the availability and awareness of Altria’s smoke-free products.
  • Costs associated with building an industry-leading consumer engagement platform that enhances data collection and insights in support of ATC transition to smoke-free products
  • Increased smoke-free product research and development expense.
  • Continued confidence in tobacco businesses.
  • Expected impact of the agreement to sale Ste. Michelle Wine Estates business.

Headwinds

  • Conditions related to the economy (including unemployment rates and the impact of increased inflation).
  • Fiscal stimulus.
  • ATC dynamics, including stay-at-home practices, disposable income, purchasing patterns and adoption of smoke-free products.
  • Regulatory and legislative (including excise tax) developments.
  • The timing and extent of COVID-19 vaccine administration and the impact of COVID-19 variants.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+6.7%+2.1%
Q4 2025-5.2%+1.6%+9.4%
Q3 2025-7.8%-7.5%-4.8%
Q2 2025+3.6%+4.3%+13.2%
Q1 2025+1.0%+2.4%+2.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%-0.1%+6.1%
Q3 2024+6.7%+7.3%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-2.4%+6.4%
Q1 2024+1.1%+2.1%+6.0%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.2%+1.8%
Q3 2023-8.2%-6.2%-3.2%
Q2 2023-1.9%-3.1%-2.6%
Q1 2023+1.8%+1.0%-4.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+4.3%+3.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%-0.4%-3.4%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2022+1.2%+0.9%-0.9%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2021-7.1%-7.1%-7.9%
Q2 2021+0.9%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020-1.8%-0.6%+4.3%
Q3 2020-1.1%+3.3%+9.5%
Q2 2020-1.2%-2.3%+3.8%
Q1 2020-6.3%-9.1%-3.5%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.2%-19.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%+0.6%+8.1%
Q2 2019-6.4%-4.7%-12.0%
Q1 2019-3.5%-0.7%-4.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q3 2018+1.3%+5.7%-13.8%
Q2 2018+0.1%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.5%+0.3%-0.4%
Q4 2017-1.3%-5.4%-11.1%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+2.6%
Q2 2017-6.7%-8.7%-10.7%
Q1 2017-0.8%+0.2%+6.5%
Q4 2016+0.4%+0.2%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.1%+1.5%-0.1%
Q2 2016-1.2%-0.4%-3.1%
Q1 2016+1.9%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013-3.3%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-3.6%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2007+2.7%
Q4 2010+2.7%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q2 2010-1.4%
Q1 2009+1.2%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2008-0.7%
Q2 2009-0.7%
Q2 2008-0.7%

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