NYSE$MO

Altria Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Altria's Q3 2022 business results were reported and its guidance for 2022 full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) was narrowed.

Altria Group reported a decrease in net revenues by 3.5% to $6.55 billion for the third quarter of 2022. Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 4.9% to $1.28. The company narrowed its full-year 2022 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $4.81 to $4.89, representing a growth rate of 4.5% to 6% from a base of $4.61 in 2021.

  • Net revenues decreased 3.5% to $6.6 billion, primarily driven by the sale of our former Ste. Michelle wine business in October 2021 and lower net revenues in the smokeable products segment, partially offset by higher net revenues in the oral tobacco products segment.
  • Reported diluted EPS increased 100%+ to $0.12, primarily driven by lower reported losses from our investment in ABI (due primarily to a lower impairment of our investment in ABI), favorable Cronos-related special items, higher reported operating companies income (OCI) and fewer shares outstanding, partially offset by unfavorable changes in the estimated fair value of our investment in JUUL (including the corresponding adjustment for a tax valuation allowance).
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased 4.9% to $1.28, primarily driven by higher adjusted OCI and fewer shares outstanding.
  • Marlboro retail share of the total cigarette category was 42.6%, a decrease of 0.4 share points and 0.1 share point sequentially, primarily due to increased macroeconomic pressures on ATC disposable income.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.55B

Previous: $5.53B+18.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: $1.22+4.9%
Total Cigarette Share

42.6%

Previous: 43.2%-1.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$147M

Previous: $49M-400.0%
Free Cash Flow

$77M

Previous: $3.01B-97.4%
Net Income

$224M

Previous: -$2.72B+108.2%
Operating Income

$3.11B

Previous: $2.95B+5.5%
Gross Profit

$3.7B

Previous: $3.67B+0.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.48B

Previous: $2.96B-16.0%
Total Assets

$34B

Previous: $39.6B-14.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Altria · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.55B

Q3 2022+18.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 15 of 15 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Altria · $6.55B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Smokeable Products
    $5.88B-1.6%
  • Oral Tobacco Products
    $670M+7.0%

Forward guidance

Altria narrows its guidance for 2022 full-year adjusted diluted EPS to be in a range of $4.81 to $4.89, representing a growth rate of 4.5% to 6% from an adjusted diluted EPS base of $4.61 in 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Enhancement of our digital consumer engagement system
  • Increased smoke-free product research, development and regulatory preparation expenses
  • Marketplace activities in support of our smoke-free products
  • Planned investments in support of our Vision
  • The guidance range also includes anticipated inflationary increases in MSA expenses and direct and indirect materials costs

Headwinds

  • The external environment remains dynamic.
  • Conditions related to the economy, including the impact of high inflation, rising interest rates and global supply chain disruptions
  • ATC dynamics, including disposable income, purchasing patterns and adoption of smoke-free products
  • Regulatory and legislative developments
  • Our current expectation that PM USA will not have access to the IQOS system in 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+6.7%+2.1%
Q4 2025-5.2%+1.6%+9.4%
Q3 2025-7.8%-7.5%-4.8%
Q2 2025+3.6%+4.3%+13.2%
Q1 2025+1.0%+2.4%+2.2%
Q4 2024-2.1%-0.1%+6.1%
Q3 2024+6.7%+7.3%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-2.4%+6.4%
Q1 2024+1.1%+2.1%+6.0%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.2%+1.8%
Q3 2023-8.2%-6.2%-3.2%
Q2 2023-1.9%-3.1%-2.6%
Q1 2023+1.8%+1.0%-4.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+4.3%+3.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%-0.4%-3.4%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2022+1.2%+0.9%-0.9%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2021-7.1%-7.1%-7.9%
Q2 2021+0.9%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+1.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020-1.8%-0.6%+4.3%
Q3 2020-1.1%+3.3%+9.5%
Q2 2020-1.2%-2.3%+3.8%
Q1 2020-6.3%-9.1%-3.5%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.2%-19.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%+0.6%+8.1%
Q2 2019-6.4%-4.7%-12.0%
Q1 2019-3.5%-0.7%-4.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q3 2018+1.3%+5.7%-13.8%
Q2 2018+0.1%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.5%+0.3%-0.4%
Q4 2017-1.3%-5.4%-11.1%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.7%+2.6%
Q2 2017-6.7%-8.7%-10.7%
Q1 2017-0.8%+0.2%+6.5%
Q4 2016+0.4%+0.2%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.1%+1.5%-0.1%
Q2 2016-1.2%-0.4%-3.1%
Q1 2016+1.9%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013-3.3%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-3.6%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.4%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2007+2.7%
Q4 2010+2.7%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q2 2010-1.4%
Q1 2009+1.2%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2008-0.7%
Q2 2009-0.7%
Q2 2008-0.7%

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