NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries reported Q4 2023 results, exceeding expectations with benefits from cost containment, productivity, and lower input costs.

Mohawk Industries reported Q4 2023 net sales of $2.6 billion, a decrease of 1.4% as reported. Net earnings were $139 million, with an EPS of $2.18. The company focused on optimizing revenues and reducing costs through restructuring actions and manufacturing enhancements.

  • Q4 results were ahead of expectations, driven by cost containment, productivity, and lower input costs.
  • Inventory levels were aggressively managed, reducing working capital by more than $300 million compared to the prior year, excluding acquisitions.
  • Closed the year with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.5 times, free cash flow of $716 million, and available liquidity of $1.9 billion.
  • Anticipates first quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.60 and $1.70.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.61B

Previous: $2.65B-1.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.96

Previous: $1.32+48.5%
Operating Margin

6.7%

Previous: 7.0%-4.3%
Capital Expenditures

$240M

Previous: $151M+59.5%
Net Income

$139M

Previous: $33.5M+316.8%
Operating Income

$167M

Previous: $61.1M+173.6%
Gross Profit

$642M

Previous: $554M+15.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.23M

Previous: $4.92M+6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.61B

Q4 2023-1.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.77B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Global Ceramic
    $1.09B-0.5%
  • Flooring NA
    $962M-11.7%
  • Flooring ROW
    $712M-2.6%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates first quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.60 and $1.70.

Tailwinds

  • Businesses are minimizing expenses, reducing overhead and restructuring operations to adapt to present conditions.
  • Continuing to invest in innovative products to increase sales and mix.
  • Reacting to competitive pressures to optimize volumes as they pass through declines in input costs.
  • Continuing to manage inventory and anticipate temporary shutdowns to align with demand.
  • Implementing process enhancement initiatives to reduce the impact of inflation.

Headwinds

  • Industry is at a cyclical low and seasonality in the first quarter is expected to be more aligned with long-term historical levels.
  • Pace of improvement of the flooring category will be dependent on inflation rates, consumer confidence and the strength of home sales.
  • European markets could lag due to current geopolitical pressures.
  • Commercial channel outperformed expectations, led by the hospitality sector.
  • Reduced market volumes led to low industry utilization rates and aggressive competition in the marketplace.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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