NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries' Q3 2020 results significantly exceeded expectations, with sales recovering and operating income substantially increasing above last year's levels.

Mohawk Industries reported a strong third quarter in 2020, with net sales of $2.6 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year. Net profit was $205 million, with diluted EPS of $2.87. Adjusted net earnings were $233 million, and EPS was $3.26, excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges. The company generated approximately $530 million in cash, bringing cash and short-term investments to around $1.2 billion. The company benefited from increased demand and customers increasing inventory in distribution channels.

  • Net sales for Q3 2020 were $2.6 billion, a 2% increase as reported and on a constant currency basis.
  • Net profit reached $205 million, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.87.
  • Adjusted net earnings amounted to $233 million, with EPS at $3.26, excluding specific charges.
  • Approximately $530 million in cash generated, elevating cash and short-term investments to about $1.2 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.57B

Previous: $2.52B+2.2%
EPS (adj)

$3.26

Previous: $2.75+18.5%
Operating Margin

8.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$265M

Previous: -$406M+34.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$60.3M

Previous: -$250M+75.9%
Net Income

$205M

Previous: $156M+31.9%
Operating Income

$263M

Previous: $240M+9.4%
Gross Profit

$706M

Previous: $692M+2.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$781M

Previous: $111M+601.9%
Total Assets

$13.8B

Previous: $13.4B+2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.88M

Previous: $5.65M-13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.57B

Q3 2020+2.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.57B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Flooring NA
    $982M-2.0%
  • Global Ceramic
    $911M-0.6%
  • Flooring ROW
    $681M+13.4%

Forward guidance

Assuming that the current economic trends continue, Mohawk anticipates its fourth quarter EPS to be $2.75 to $2.87, with a non-recurring tax rate of approximately 5% for the period.

Tailwinds

  • Residential remodeling and new home construction are expected to improve next year.
  • The commercial business should increase from its present low levels as economies recover going forward.
  • Strong balance sheet.
  • Cash generation.
  • Liquidity will allow Mohawk to move from a defensive posture to a more aggressive growth strategy.

Headwinds

  • The fourth quarter is slower for the industry due to normal seasonality.
  • Expect lower growth in channel inventory levels.
  • Higher margin commercial business will continue to be slow, with completed projects likely to outpace new starts.
  • Visibility continues to be limited by many uncertainties, including how government restrictions and demand will evolve.
  • Anticipate service improving with inventories rising as production levels exceed sales.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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