NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries reported a decrease in net sales and earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter of 2022, impacted by declining residential flooring sales and customer inventory reductions.

Mohawk Industries reported Q4 2022 results with net sales of $2.7 billion, a decrease of 4.0% as reported. Net earnings were $33 million, and diluted EPS was $0.52. The company faced challenges from rising interest rates, inflation, and lower consumer confidence, leading to decreased flooring volumes and scaled-back production.

  • Net sales decreased by 4.0% as reported, or 1.3% on a constant currency and days basis.
  • Net earnings were $33 million, with a diluted EPS of $0.52.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.32, excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges.
  • The company is implementing restructuring actions and reducing capital expenditures to manage current market conditions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.65B

Previous: $2.76B-4.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.32

Previous: $2.95-55.3%
Operating Margin

7.0%

Previous: 0.1%+7677.8%
Capital Expenditures

$151M

Previous: $301M-49.9%
Free Cash Flow

$91.1M

Previous: -$88.6K+102926.4%
Net Income

$33.5M

Previous: $189M-82.3%
Operating Income

$61.1M

Previous: $253M-75.9%
Gross Profit

$554M

Previous: $737M-24.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$510M

Previous: $269M+89.5%
Total Assets

$14.1B

Previous: $14.2B-0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.92M

Previous: $6.24M-21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.65B

Q4 2022-4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.65B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Global Ceramic
    $988M+4.0%
  • Flooring NA
    $946M-6.8%
  • Flooring ROW
    $717M-9.9%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2023, Mohawk anticipates more pressure on pricing and mix due to low industry volumes and expects adjusted EPS to be between $1.24 and $1.34, excluding any restructuring, acquisition and other charges.

Tailwinds

  • Cost of energy has fallen and should benefit global margins as inventory turns.
  • Second quarter results should have sequentially stronger improvement, with seasonally higher sales, increased production and lower material costs.
  • Significantly lower energy costs in Europe should enhance consumer spending, discretionary purchases and flooring demand.
  • Refocusing sales teams on better-performing channels.
  • Introducing innovative new collections and merchandising as well as utilizing targeted promotions to improve sales.

Headwinds

  • Anticipate more pressure on pricing and mix due to low industry volumes.
  • Inventory costs remain elevated in most product categories due to the higher material and energy costs incurred in earlier periods.
  • Will not raise production as normal in the first quarter to prepare for future demand, increasing unabsorbed costs.
  • Flooring industry is slowing due to higher interest rates, sustained inflation and low consumer confidence.
  • Visibility of the depth and duration of this cycle is limited, and conditions differ across the world.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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