NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries' financial performance declined due to housing market challenges and inflation, but margins expanded sequentially through cost management and productivity initiatives.

Mohawk Industries reported a decrease in net sales and earnings for Q2 2023 compared to the previous year, impacted by higher interest rates, inflation, and declining flooring sales. However, margins expanded sequentially due to seasonal improvements, increased production, productivity initiatives, and lower input costs. The company generated $147 million in free cash flow and is implementing restructuring actions to save $35 million annually.

  • Net sales for Q2 2023 were $3.0 billion, a 6.4% decrease as reported and 9.6% on a legacy and constant currency and days basis versus the prior year.
  • Net earnings were $101 million, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $1.58.
  • Adjusted EPS was $2.76, excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges.
  • Generated $147 million of free cash flow during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.95B

Previous: $3.15B-6.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.76

Previous: $4.41-37.4%
Operating Margin

5.2%

Previous: 0.1%+4344.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$245M

Previous: -$280M+12.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$144M

Previous: $390K-37004.9%
Net Income

$101M

Previous: $280M-63.9%
Operating Income

$153M

Previous: $368M-58.4%
Gross Profit

$732M

Previous: $873M-16.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$571M

Previous: $224M+154.9%
Total Assets

$14.6B

Previous: $14.7B-0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.38M

Previous: $5.65M-4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.95B

Q2 2023-6.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.95B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Global Ceramic
    $1.16B-0.3%
  • Flooring NA
    $1B-8.9%
  • Flooring ROW
    $793M-11.4%

Forward guidance

Mohawk anticipates its third quarter adjusted EPS to be between $2.62 to $2.72, excluding any restructuring, acquisition and other charges.

Tailwinds

  • Rise in builder confidence and housing starts in the U.S. will increase residential new construction business.
  • Expect the commercial sector to outperform the residential channel through this year.
  • New restructuring initiatives should save $35 million per year.
  • Recent acquisitions will add greater benefit to results as they optimize their performance.
  • Lower material and energy costs will partially offset pressure on pricing and mix.

Headwinds

  • Central banks have raised interest rates to reduce inflation and are signaling that additional rate hikes are possible.
  • Remodeling and existing home sales are being delayed due to limited housing availability, higher interest rates and inflation.
  • Expect continued pressure on pricing and mix.
  • Third quarter seasonally weakens due to summer holidays, lower consumer spending and lower production in Europe.
  • Continued weakness in the office category.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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