NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries reported a solid Q3 performance amidst soft market conditions, benefiting from sales initiatives, productivity gains, restructuring actions, and lower input costs, partially offset by pricing and mix pressure.

Mohawk Industries reported Q3 2024 net sales of $2.7 billion, a decrease of 1.7% as reported and 2.1% on an adjusted basis versus the prior year. Net earnings were $162 million, with EPS of $2.55; adjusted net earnings were $184 million, and adjusted EPS was $2.90. The company generated free cash flow of $204 million in the quarter.

  • Delivered solid performance in soft market conditions, driven by sales initiatives, productivity, and restructuring actions.
  • Generated free cash flow of $204 million due to increased earnings and working capital management.
  • Invested approximately $450 million in capital projects focused on growth, cost reduction, and asset maintenance.
  • Expect recent interest rate cuts in the U.S., Europe, and Latin America to strengthen housing markets and increase flooring sales next year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.72B

Previous: $2.77B-1.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.90

Previous: $2.72+6.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$294M

Previous: -$373M+21.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$132M

Previous: -$1.13B+88.4%
Net Income

$162M

Previous: -$760M+121.3%
Operating Income

$212M

Previous: -$734M+128.9%
Gross Profit

$693M

Previous: $692M+0.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$424M

Previous: $518M-18.2%
Total Assets

$13.3B

Previous: $13.1B+1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $5.35M+30.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.72B

Q3 2024-1.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.77B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Global Ceramic
    $1.09B-0.5%
  • Flooring NA
    $962M-11.7%
  • Flooring ROW
    $712M-2.6%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.77 and $1.87, excluding any restructuring or other one-time charges. Demand in all of markets improving as interest rates decline and consumer spending in the category accelerates across the world in 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Demand in all of our markets improving as interest rates decline
  • Consumer spending in the category accelerates across the world.
  • Elevated home equity levels will provide property owners with resources to renovate their residences.
  • All of our regions require significant new home construction, and we have grown our participation in this channel.
  • Commercial construction and remodeling should also expand as financing becomes more affordable and investment returns increase.

Headwinds

  • Global conflicts, political uncertainty and inflation are weighing on consumer confidence and discretionary spending around the world.
  • Short-term macroeconomic conditions remain unpredictable, and we do not anticipate an industry improvement this year.
  • Demand remains weak, and each of our product categories and markets faces unique economic situations.
  • Our mix is impacted by consumers trading down and by new construction outpacing the higher value remodeling channels.
  • In some products, we are seeing raw material inflation that will increase our costs in the fourth quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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