NYSE$MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mohawk Industries reported a net loss due to non-cash impairment charges, but adjusted earnings were positive, though sales decreased compared to the prior year.

Mohawk Industries reported a net loss of $760 million for Q3 2023, impacted by $876 million in non-cash impairment charges. Adjusted net earnings were $174 million, with adjusted EPS at $2.72. Net sales were $2.8 billion, a 5.2% decrease as reported and 8.1% on a legacy and constant currency basis.

  • Net sales decreased by 5.2% year-over-year to $2.8 billion.
  • The company faced pressures across all regions due to constrained residential investments and consumer spending.
  • Generated strong free cash flow of $385 million in the quarter.
  • Anticipates fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.80 to $1.90.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.77B

Previous: $2.92B-5.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.72

Previous: $3.34-18.6%
Operating Margin

-32.5%

Previous: -51.0%+36.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$373M

Previous: -$430M+13.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.13B

Previous: -$964M-17.5%
Net Income

-$760M

Previous: -$534M-42.4%
Operating Income

-$734M

Previous: -$506M-45.1%
Gross Profit

$692M

Previous: $714M-3.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$518M

Previous: $327M+58.6%
Total Assets

$13.1B

Previous: $13.8B-4.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.35M

Previous: $6.18M-13.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Mohawk · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.77B

Q3 2023-5.2%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mohawk · $2.77B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Global Ceramic
    $1.09B-0.5%
  • Flooring NA
    $962M-11.7%
  • Flooring ROW
    $712M-2.6%

Forward guidance

Mohawk Industries anticipates its fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.80 to $1.90, excluding any non-recurring charges, leading to a full-year adjusted EPS exceeding $9.00.

Tailwinds

  • The company's business fundamentals remain strong.
  • There is significant pent-up demand expected when the industry rebounds.
  • A large percentage of homeowners plan renovation projects in the near term.
  • Substantial new home building will be required for many years.
  • Commercial activity will expand as the economic outlook improves.

Headwinds

  • Elevated interest rates and persistent inflation are restricting consumer discretionary spending.
  • Remodeling projects and new home purchases have been postponed.
  • Similar pressures are beginning to reduce commercial investments.
  • Competition for sales to utilize plant capacity is increasing.
  • Foreign exchange rates are expected to continue to be an earnings headwind.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.8%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%-1.9%-23.2%
Q3 2025-7.1%-8.8%-14.7%
Q1 2025-1.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.3%-4.3%-4.1%
Q3 2024-13.7%-12.7%-8.5%
Q2 2024+26.4%+27.5%+24.0%
Q1 2024+3.6%+3.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.0%+5.8%+11.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+2.8%+7.4%
Q2 2023-7.8%-7.1%-17.3%
Q1 2023+11.6%+6.5%+0.3%
Q4 2022-4.4%-3.2%-19.1%
Q3 2022-1.9%-3.6%+4.4%
Q2 2022-5.1%-11.3%-19.1%
Q1 2022+12.0%+21.6%+12.6%
Q4 2021-8.5%-5.9%-16.8%
Q3 2021-8.1%-9.6%-9.0%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.9%+7.2%
Q1 2021-1.1%+5.8%+1.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+7.0%+18.2%
Q3 2020+11.9%+26.9%+41.6%
Q2 2020+0.6%+7.2%+8.5%
Q1 2020-1.1%+1.8%+25.3%
Q4 2019+3.6%-1.3%-27.6%
Q3 2019+12.2%+12.6%+9.2%
Q2 2019-16.6%-18.9%-27.4%
Q1 2019-5.3%+1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2018+6.6%+12.3%+3.6%
Q3 2018-22.0%-16.0%-14.0%
Q2 2018-18.3%-15.9%-13.3%
Q1 2018-4.3%-5.0%-6.1%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.5%+4.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+5.0%+2.9%
Q1 2017-1.5%-2.7%-1.0%
Q4 2016+4.0%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2016+6.8%+9.3%+6.4%
Q2 2016+2.6%+1.8%+2.6%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-5.6%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+7.3%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.2%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%
Q1 2010+7.7%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2009-7.3%
Q3 2010-7.3%
Q4 2009+8.7%
Q2 2009+8.7%
Q2 2010+8.7%

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