NYSE$IPI

Intrepid Potash Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Intrepid Potash reported a quarterly net loss despite growth in potash production and strong Trio segment sales.

Intrepid Potash posted Q4 2024 revenue of $55.8 million, nearly flat compared to Q4 2023. The company recorded a GAAP net loss of $207.0 million, mainly due to a non-cash valuation allowance against deferred tax assets. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $8.6 million, supported by higher potash production and increased Trio segment sales. The company ended the year with $41.3 million in cash and no outstanding borrowings on its credit facility.

  • Q4 revenue remained stable at $55.8 million, compared to $56.7 million in Q4 2023.
  • Net loss widened to $207.0 million due to a non-cash tax adjustment.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $8.6 million, reflecting improved production efficiency.
  • Trio segment sales increased 11% year-over-year to $23.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$55.8M

Previous: $56.7M-1.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.11

Previous: -$0.41+73.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$8.57M

Previous: $7.1M+20.7%
Potash Production

117.0K

No prior period
Trio Production

67.0K

No prior period
Potash Sales Volume

57.0K

No prior period
Trio Sales Volume

54.0K

No prior period
Avg Potash Price/Ton

$347.00

No prior period
Avg Trio Price/Ton

$330.00

No prior period
Net Income

-$207M

Previous: -$37.3M-455.3%
Operating Income

-$11.7M

Previous: -$47.4M+75.3%
Gross Profit

$7.29M

Previous: $4.62M+57.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Intrepid Potash · Revenue · Quarterly

$55.8M

Q4 2024-1.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Intrepid Potash · $54.5M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Potash
    $27.6M-34.8%
  • Trio
    $22M-8.4%
  • Oilfield Solutions
    $4.9M-41.8%

Forward guidance

Intrepid expects continued improvements in potash production efficiency and higher sales volumes in 2025, with a focus on cost management and operational optimizations.

Tailwinds

  • Potash production expected to remain strong following infrastructure improvements.
  • Trio segment sales expected to continue growing due to strong demand.
  • Operational efficiency gains anticipated to support margin improvement.
  • Stable liquidity with no outstanding borrowings and a strong cash position.
  • Increased investment in strategic projects, including HB Solution Mine expansions.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing pricing pressure in potash could weigh on revenue growth.
  • Volatility in oilfield solutions segment due to fluctuating demand.
  • Capital expenditures projected between $36M-$42M, impacting free cash flow.
  • Regulatory uncertainties could affect expansion plans.
  • Continued impact of lower potash prices on profitability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-69.9%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+23.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025+10.6%+13.3%+21.5%
Q3 2025-2.3%-4.1%-2.4%
Q2 2025-5.3%-6.8%-8.4%
Q1 2025+17.3%+17.0%+16.4%
Q4 2024-2.0%+8.0%+17.4%
Q3 2024+13.5%+9.1%+6.7%
Q1 2024+15.3%+19.7%+17.9%
Q4 2023+7.1%-4.2%+1.6%
Q3 2023-7.3%-8.5%-2.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023-16.6%-21.2%-24.9%
Q4 2022-7.9%-13.5%-19.8%
Q3 2022-24.4%-20.5%-19.8%
Q2 2022-2.4%-3.0%+3.9%
Q1 2022+8.4%-11.4%-19.8%
Q4 2021+4.6%+19.3%+25.4%
Q3 2021-13.2%-8.0%-18.7%
Q2 2021+12.3%+13.2%+1.7%
Q1 2021+10.8%-16.3%-8.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%+3.3%+9.7%
Q3 2020-8.0%-12.2%+37.2%
Q2 2020-5.3%+2.2%+6.9%
Q1 2020-6.4%-7.3%+18.2%
Q4 2019+1.1%-13.6%-57.6%
Q3 2019-14.0%-21.2%-33.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.5%-11.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%-1.4%-7.5%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.7%+1.6%
Q3 2018+19.3%+20.8%+2.7%
Q2 2018-13.6%-19.6%-18.9%
Q1 2018+13.5%+11.1%+14.7%
Q4 2017-12.9%-6.3%-4.2%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017+15.2%+6.3%+22.8%
Q1 2017+3.4%+18.5%+27.5%
Q4 2016-6.0%-12.4%-21.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%-6.2%+23.0%
Q2 2016+11.4%+6.5%+13.0%
Q1 2016+8.8%
Q4 2015-69.9%
Q3 2015-28.1%
Q2 2015-4.0%
Q1 2015+5.9%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-9.9%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2013-11.4%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013-7.0%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-5.7%
Q1 2012-11.6%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q1 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2008+7.6%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q3 2010-2.5%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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