NYSE$IPI

Intrepid Potash Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Intrepid Potash reported a net loss due to lower pricing for key products, despite increased Trio sales volumes and a solid first quarter performance.

Intrepid Potash reported a decrease in sales and a net loss for Q1 2024 compared to the previous year. While Trio sales volumes increased, lower pricing for key products drove down profitability. The company is focused on increasing potash production in the second half of the year to improve unit economics.

  • Total sales decreased by 9% to $79.3 million compared to Q1 2023.
  • Net loss was $3.1 million (or $0.24 per diluted share), compared to net income of $4.5 million in Q1 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $7.7 million from $16.4 million in the same period last year.
  • Trio sales volumes increased by 40% while potash sales volumes decreased by 17%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$79.3M

Previous: $86.9M-8.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: $0.37-137.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$11.7M

Previous: $21M-155.5%
Free Cash Flow

$29.9M

Previous: $8.45M+253.4%
Net Income

-$3.13M

Previous: $4.51M-169.5%
Operating Income

-$4.31K

Previous: $5.37M-100.1%
Gross Profit

$6.43M

Previous: $16.4M-60.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.32M

Previous: $1.75M-24.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Intrepid Potash · Revenue · Quarterly

$79.3M

Q1 2024-8.8%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Intrepid Potash · $54.5M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Potash
    $27.6M-34.8%
  • Trio
    $22M-8.4%
  • Oilfield Solutions
    $4.9M-41.8%

Forward guidance

Intrepid expects potash production to increase in the second half of 2024. The company anticipates a decrease in cash production costs at the East mine and is reviewing deal structures for its sand and lithium projects.

Tailwinds

  • Potash production is expected to increase in the second half of 2024.
  • Cash production costs at the East mine are expected to decrease by approximately $8 million to $10 million, or 12% to 15%, when compared to the prior year.
  • The company is reviewing deal structures with potential partners to develop the sand resource.
  • Construction of PP7 is nearing completion and the pond has started to receive brine.
  • Replacement Extraction Well ("IP30B") project remains on schedule to be complete in the second quarter of 2024.

Headwinds

  • Reduced potash production during the 2023-2024 production year has constrained sales volumes and negatively impacted unit economics.
  • The company incurred a gross deficit of $1.1 million in the Trio segment due to the decrease in average net realized sales price per ton.
  • The completion of Eddy Shaft Brine Extraction Project in October 2023, has extracted approximately 205 million gallons of brine, which corresponds to approximately 75 thousand potash product tons.
  • HB Injection Pipeline Project Phase Two commissioning is expected in the third quarter of 2024.
  • Company is still in the process of reviewing deal structures with potential partners for Lithium Project.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-69.9%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+23.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025+10.6%+13.3%+21.5%
Q3 2025-2.3%-4.1%-2.4%
Q2 2025-5.3%-6.8%-8.4%
Q1 2025+17.3%+17.0%+16.4%
Q4 2024-2.0%+8.0%+17.4%
Q3 2024+13.5%+9.1%+6.7%
Q1 2024+15.3%+19.7%+17.9%
Q4 2023+7.1%-4.2%+1.6%
Q3 2023-7.3%-8.5%-2.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023-16.6%-21.2%-24.9%
Q4 2022-7.9%-13.5%-19.8%
Q3 2022-24.4%-20.5%-19.8%
Q2 2022-2.4%-3.0%+3.9%
Q1 2022+8.4%-11.4%-19.8%
Q4 2021+4.6%+19.3%+25.4%
Q3 2021-13.2%-8.0%-18.7%
Q2 2021+12.3%+13.2%+1.7%
Q1 2021+10.8%-16.3%-8.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%+3.3%+9.7%
Q3 2020-8.0%-12.2%+37.2%
Q2 2020-5.3%+2.2%+6.9%
Q1 2020-6.4%-7.3%+18.2%
Q4 2019+1.1%-13.6%-57.6%
Q3 2019-14.0%-21.2%-33.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.5%-11.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%-1.4%-7.5%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.7%+1.6%
Q3 2018+19.3%+20.8%+2.7%
Q2 2018-13.6%-19.6%-18.9%
Q1 2018+13.5%+11.1%+14.7%
Q4 2017-12.9%-6.3%-4.2%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017+15.2%+6.3%+22.8%
Q1 2017+3.4%+18.5%+27.5%
Q4 2016-6.0%-12.4%-21.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%-6.2%+23.0%
Q2 2016+11.4%+6.5%+13.0%
Q1 2016+8.8%
Q4 2015-69.9%
Q3 2015-28.1%
Q2 2015-4.0%
Q1 2015+5.9%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-9.9%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2013-11.4%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013-7.0%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-5.7%
Q1 2012-11.6%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q1 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2008+7.6%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q3 2010-2.5%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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