NYSE$IPI

Intrepid Potash Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Intrepid Potash reported a net loss of $37.3 million and adjusted EBITDA of $7.1 million.

Intrepid Potash reported fourth quarter sales of $56.7 million and a net loss of $37.3 million, which included non-cash impairment charges of $42.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $7.1 million. The company received an initial $50 million payment related to the Third Amendment to the Cooperative Development Agreement with XTO Holdings.

  • Total sales were $56.7 million in the fourth quarter.
  • Net loss was $37.3 million (or $2.91 per diluted share), including non-cash impairment charges of $42.8 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $7.1 million for the fourth quarter.
  • Received an initial $50 million payment related to the Third Amendment to the Cooperative Development Agreement with XTO Holdings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$56.7M

Previous: $66.7M-15.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.41

Previous: $0.83-149.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$7.1M

Previous: $23.1M-69.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.58M

Previous: $31.6M-120.8%
Net Income

-$37.3M

Previous: $4M-1032.2%
Operating Income

-$47.4M

Previous: $6.13M-874.4%
Gross Profit

$4.62M

Previous: $25.7M-82.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.46M

Previous: $2.19M-33.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Intrepid Potash · Revenue · Quarterly

$56.7M

Q4 2023-15%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Intrepid Potash · $54.5M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Potash
    $27.6M-34.8%
  • Trio
    $22M-8.4%
  • Oilfield Solutions
    $4.9M-41.8%

Forward guidance

Intrepid's primary strategic priority has been to revitalize our potash assets and I'm very pleased to share that we are on track to successfully achieve this goal.

Tailwinds

  • Potash production outlook is improving, highlighted by the significantly improved brine grades we're already seeing in our harvest ponds at HB from the Eddy Shaft project.
  • We are a few quarters away from seeing the first inflection to higher production from our HB mine and we want to be clear that our investments are designed to sustainably support higher potash production over the long-term.
  • We recently received the final permit for our sand project at Intrepid South
  • We continue to make progress on our lithium resource at Wendover.
  • fertilizer pricing has remained resilient and we expect to see steady sales through the spring application season.

Headwinds

  • Slightly lower fertilizer pricing proved to be headwinds to our margins in the fourth quarter
  • Higher costs associated with our current potash production profile proved to be headwinds to our margins in the fourth quarter
  • capital expenditure guidance range is $40 to $50 million.
  • growth capital spending is expected to moderate to approximately $20 to $25 million in 2024
  • Still have a couple projects to bring online over the next few months

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-69.9%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+23.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025+10.6%+13.3%+21.5%
Q3 2025-2.3%-4.1%-2.4%
Q2 2025-5.3%-6.8%-8.4%
Q1 2025+17.3%+17.0%+16.4%
Q4 2024-2.0%+8.0%+17.4%
Q3 2024+13.5%+9.1%+6.7%
Q1 2024+15.3%+19.7%+17.9%
Q4 2023+7.1%-4.2%+1.6%
Q3 2023-7.3%-8.5%-2.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023-16.6%-21.2%-24.9%
Q4 2022-7.9%-13.5%-19.8%
Q3 2022-24.4%-20.5%-19.8%
Q2 2022-2.4%-3.0%+3.9%
Q1 2022+8.4%-11.4%-19.8%
Q4 2021+4.6%+19.3%+25.4%
Q3 2021-13.2%-8.0%-18.7%
Q2 2021+12.3%+13.2%+1.7%
Q1 2021+10.8%-16.3%-8.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%+3.3%+9.7%
Q3 2020-8.0%-12.2%+37.2%
Q2 2020-5.3%+2.2%+6.9%
Q1 2020-6.4%-7.3%+18.2%
Q4 2019+1.1%-13.6%-57.6%
Q3 2019-14.0%-21.2%-33.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.5%-11.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%-1.4%-7.5%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.7%+1.6%
Q3 2018+19.3%+20.8%+2.7%
Q2 2018-13.6%-19.6%-18.9%
Q1 2018+13.5%+11.1%+14.7%
Q4 2017-12.9%-6.3%-4.2%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017+15.2%+6.3%+22.8%
Q1 2017+3.4%+18.5%+27.5%
Q4 2016-6.0%-12.4%-21.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%-6.2%+23.0%
Q2 2016+11.4%+6.5%+13.0%
Q1 2016+8.8%
Q4 2015-69.9%
Q3 2015-28.1%
Q2 2015-4.0%
Q1 2015+5.9%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-9.9%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2013-11.4%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013-7.0%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-5.7%
Q1 2012-11.6%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q1 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2008+7.6%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q3 2010-2.5%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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