NYSE$IPI

Intrepid Potash Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in sales and improved profitability driven by higher prices for potash and Trio.

Intrepid Potash reported strong financial results for Q2 2022, with sales of $91.7 million, a net income of $23.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $41.5 million. The company benefited from high prices for potash and Trio, and is progressing on production improvement projects and a new frac sand project.

  • Total sales increased to $91.7 million, up from $67.9 million in Q2 2021, driven by higher potash and Trio prices.
  • Net income improved to $23.7 million ($1.74 per diluted share), compared to $19.5 million in Q2 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $41.5 million, a $24.6 million improvement over the prior year.
  • The company had approximately $85 million in cash and cash equivalents and $74 million available under its revolving credit facility as of July 31, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$91.7M

Previous: $67.9M+35.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: $0.55+230.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$41.5M

Previous: $16.9M+146.2%
Potash Production

25.0K

Previous: 51+48919.6%
Trio Production

58.0K

Previous: 63+91963.5%
Capital Expenditures

$16M

Previous: $4.27M+274.6%
Free Cash Flow

$33.1M

Previous: $28.1M+18.1%
Net Income

$23.7M

Previous: $19.5M+21.5%
Operating Income

$31.8M

Previous: $10.3M+208.8%
Gross Profit

$41.8M

Previous: $14.2M+194.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$85M

Previous: $53.3M+59.6%
Total Assets

$811M

Previous: $557M+45.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.39M

Previous: $765K+81.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Intrepid Potash · Revenue · Quarterly

$91.7M

Q2 2022+35.1%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Intrepid Potash · $91.8M total across 3 segments · Q2 2022

  • Potash
    $48.8M+29.5%
  • Trio
    $35.5M+31.7%
  • Oilfield Solutions
    $7.51M+125.5%

Forward guidance

The outlook for both the industry and Intrepid remains strong. The global fertilizer supply challenges - particularly for potash - remains unabated.

Tailwinds

  • Even with the announced potash supply additions, we believe the lack of supply versus historical levels of demand will result in potash prices remaining elevated.
  • Forward crop prices still point to historically strong US farmer economics.
  • Intrepid generated adjusted EBITDA of $91.6 million on total sales of $196.1 million, for adjusted EBITDA margins of 47% in the first half of the year
  • First half 2022 cash flow from operations totaled $83.2 million and we ended July with $85 million of cash and cash equivalents for total liquidity of $159 million.
  • For 2022, we have budgeted for approximately $65 million to $75 million of capital spending, with a roughly 50-50 split between maintenance and growth.

Headwinds

  • After nearly 18 months of strong demand in the potash market, we expect buyers will approach second half with significantly more restraint given inventory carryover following a compressed spring
  • Heightened concerns over the increased credit and inventory exposure they face at current price levels.
  • Below average evaporation rates across our facilities in 2021 led to decreased potash production during the second half of 2021 and the first half of 2022.
  • Customers were also reluctant to replenish potash inventory during the back half of the second quarter of 2022, choosing instead to wait for summer programs with the expectation of those being announced during the third quarter of 2022.
  • Trio customers were reluctant to hold much inventory exiting the spring season.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-69.9%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+23.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025+10.6%+13.3%+21.5%
Q3 2025-2.3%-4.1%-2.4%
Q2 2025-5.3%-6.8%-8.4%
Q1 2025+17.3%+17.0%+16.4%
Q4 2024-2.0%+8.0%+17.4%
Q3 2024+13.5%+9.1%+6.7%
Q1 2024+15.3%+19.7%+17.9%
Q4 2023+7.1%-4.2%+1.6%
Q3 2023-7.3%-8.5%-2.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023-16.6%-21.2%-24.9%
Q4 2022-7.9%-13.5%-19.8%
Q3 2022-24.4%-20.5%-19.8%
Q2 2022-2.4%-3.0%+3.9%
Q1 2022+8.4%-11.4%-19.8%
Q4 2021+4.6%+19.3%+25.4%
Q3 2021-13.2%-8.0%-18.7%
Q2 2021+12.3%+13.2%+1.7%
Q1 2021+10.8%-16.3%-8.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%+3.3%+9.7%
Q3 2020-8.0%-12.2%+37.2%
Q2 2020-5.3%+2.2%+6.9%
Q1 2020-6.4%-7.3%+18.2%
Q4 2019+1.1%-13.6%-57.6%
Q3 2019-14.0%-21.2%-33.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.5%-11.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%-1.4%-7.5%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.7%+1.6%
Q3 2018+19.3%+20.8%+2.7%
Q2 2018-13.6%-19.6%-18.9%
Q1 2018+13.5%+11.1%+14.7%
Q4 2017-12.9%-6.3%-4.2%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017+15.2%+6.3%+22.8%
Q1 2017+3.4%+18.5%+27.5%
Q4 2016-6.0%-12.4%-21.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%-6.2%+23.0%
Q2 2016+11.4%+6.5%+13.0%
Q1 2016+8.8%
Q4 2015-69.9%
Q3 2015-28.1%
Q2 2015-4.0%
Q1 2015+5.9%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-9.9%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2013-11.4%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013-7.0%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-5.7%
Q1 2012-11.6%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q1 2010-9.5%
Q2 2011-9.5%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2008+7.6%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q3 2010-2.5%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%

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