NYSE$HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hilltop Holdings' financial performance was solid, marked by strategic balance sheet management and improved profitability in key segments.

Hilltop Holdings reported a net income of $22.9 million and EPS of $0.31. The company experienced growth in noninterest income and managed to reduce noninterest expenses. PlainsCapital Bank and PrimeLending showed pre-tax income, while HilltopSecurities also contributed positively with a pre-tax income of $7.2 million.

  • PlainsCapital Bank's pre-tax income was $32.8 million, with net interest margin increasing due to loan portfolio repricing and return of higher cost brokered deposits.
  • PrimeLending's pre-tax income reached $1.4 million, driven by higher gain-on-sale margins and origination volume growth.
  • HilltopSecurities generated $7.2 million in pre-tax income, supported by a net revenue of $104.3 million.
  • Hilltop returned $21 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$297M

Previous: $309M-3.9%
EPS

$0.31

Previous: $0.28+10.7%
Return on average assets

0.6%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$20.3M

Previous: $18.1M+12.1%
Net Income

$20.3M

Previous: $18.1M+12.1%
Operating Income

$151M

Previous: $186M-18.9%
Gross Profit

$286M

Previous: $294M-2.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$798M

Previous: $1.58B-49.6%
Total Assets

$15.6B

Previous: $17.1B-8.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Hilltop · Revenue · Quarterly

$297M

Q2 2024-3.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hilltop · $176M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Broker-Dealer
    $92.8M
  • Mortgage Origination
    $71.4M
  • Banking
    $11.9M

Forward guidance

Hilltop Holdings provided outlook for 2024, expecting stable bank loans, deposit growth decline of 0% - 3%, NII decline of 6% - 10%, mortgage origination volume of $8B - $10B, broker dealer fees decrease 0% - 5%, non-variable expenses decline 1% - 3%, provision / average loans HFI of 20 – 40 bps, and effective tax rate of 22% – 24%.

Tailwinds

  • Full year average Bank loans (excluding retained mortgages and mortgage warehouse lending) remain stable with prior year levels
  • Expect to retain $0 – $20 million per month of originated mortgages
  • Mortgage origination noninterest income is expected to remain relatively stable with prior year
  • Non-variable expenses are expected to decline by 1% – 3%
  • Variable expenses are projected to follow revenue contribution from fee businesses

Headwinds

  • Expecting a decline of 0% – 3% in deposit growth due to elevated market pricing and competition
  • Migration of NIB deposits expected to continue into IB products
  • Expecting NIB to comprise 25% – 28% of total deposits at year-end 2024
  • NII is expected to decline by 6% – 10% due to higher average deposits costs in 2024
  • Broker Dealer fees are anticipated to decrease by 0% – 5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

30 / 66 earnings

Positive

+17.4%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.3%-0.8%-2.0%
Q4 2025+2.2%+6.6%+1.7%
Q3 2025+4.6%+0.1%+4.6%
Q2 2025-2.4%+0.8%+5.7%
Q1 2025-1.1%+0.8%+1.1%
Q4 2024-0.5%+8.3%+7.3%
Q3 2024+2.5%+1.5%+5.6%
Q2 2024-6.3%-5.2%-5.1%
Q1 2024+4.4%+5.1%+10.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2023-1.3%-2.0%+10.3%
Q2 2023-10.9%-7.9%-8.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+2.7%+4.9%
Q4 2022+7.1%+8.0%+10.4%
Q3 2022+11.6%+14.0%+15.3%
Q2 2022+0.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2022-11.3%-12.9%+1.5%
Q4 2021-2.7%-6.1%-11.5%
Q3 2021+5.4%+8.5%+0.0%
Q2 2021-1.3%-1.5%+3.6%
Q1 2021+4.5%+3.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.4%+5.2%
Q3 2020-2.3%-2.8%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2020-6.7%-15.6%-3.2%
Q4 2019-6.1%-4.6%-13.6%
Q3 2019+3.1%+5.9%+3.8%
Q2 2019+0.0%+2.4%+1.6%
Q1 2019+3.5%+4.8%+0.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-3.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018+9.5%+15.6%+11.6%
Q2 2018-4.0%-5.4%-3.9%
Q1 2018-5.6%-8.5%-3.5%
Q4 2017+2.5%-2.2%-6.8%
Q3 2017+0.1%-7.1%-9.3%
Q2 2017+1.5%+1.8%-3.0%
Q1 2017+2.1%-1.2%-8.5%
Q4 2016-0.4%-3.5%-1.1%
Q3 2016-0.3%-0.1%+15.4%
Q2 2016-1.0%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014-2.6%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-0.1%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+17.4%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+6.5%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-1.1%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+4.9%
Q4 2011+4.9%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-9.7%
Q4 2010-9.7%
Q2 2011-9.7%
Q1 2010+0.3%

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