NYSE$HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hilltop Holdings reported mixed results for Q1 2024, with PlainsCapital Bank showing strength and PrimeLending facing challenges.

Hilltop Holdings reported a net income of $27.7 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, for Q1 2024. PlainsCapital Bank's pre-tax income increased, while PrimeLending experienced a pre-tax loss. HilltopSecurities saw a rise in pre-tax income, and the company returned $21.0 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

  • PlainsCapital Bank's pre-tax income was $50.3 million, with a net interest margin increase.
  • PrimeLending reported a pre-tax loss of $16.5 million, including valuation adjustments to MSR asset.
  • HilltopSecurities' pre-tax income was $18.9 million, with increase in structured finance revenue.
  • Hilltop returned $21.0 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$285M

Previous: $284M+0.4%
EPS

$0.42

Previous: $0.40+5.0%
Return on average stockholders' equity

5.2%

No prior period
Return on average assets

0.7%

Previous: 0.7%+7.2%
Net interest margin

2.9%

No prior period
Non-accrual loans as a % of total loans

0.7%

No prior period
Mortgage loan originations volume

$1.68B

No prior period
Effective tax rate

22.5%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$27.7M

Previous: $25.8M+7.2%
Net Income

$27.7M

Previous: $25.8M+7.2%
Operating Income

$170M

Previous: $200M-15.0%
Gross Profit

$282M

Previous: $282M+0.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.71B

Previous: $1.76B-3.1%
Total Assets

$16.2B

Previous: $17B-4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Hilltop · Revenue · Quarterly

$285M

Q1 2024+0.4%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hilltop · $176M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Broker-Dealer
    $92.8M
  • Mortgage Origination
    $71.4M
  • Banking
    $11.9M

Forward guidance

Hilltop Holdings provided its 2024 outlook, including expectations for bank loan growth, deposit growth, net interest income, noninterest income, noninterest expense, provision expense, and effective tax rate.

Tailwinds

  • Bank loan growth of 0% – 2% (excluding retained mortgages and mortgage warehouse lending)
  • Non-variable expenses decline 1% – 3%
  • Stable Fed Funds rate until the fourth quarter (market dependent)
  • Mortgage origination volume $8 – $10 billion
  • Effective Tax Rate (GAAP) 22% – 24%

Headwinds

  • Decline of 0% – 3% in deposit growth
  • Migration of NIB deposits expected to continue into IB products
  • NII decline of 4% - 8% driven by higher average deposit costs in 2024
  • Mortgage origination noninterest income remains pressured – full year decrease 0% - 5%
  • Broker Dealer fees decrease 0% – 5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

30 / 66 earnings

Positive

+17.4%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.3%-0.8%-2.0%
Q4 2025+2.2%+6.6%+1.7%
Q3 2025+4.6%+0.1%+4.6%
Q2 2025-2.4%+0.8%+5.7%
Q1 2025-1.1%+0.8%+1.1%
Q4 2024-0.5%+8.3%+7.3%
Q3 2024+2.5%+1.5%+5.6%
Q2 2024-6.3%-5.2%-5.1%
Q1 2024+4.4%+5.1%+10.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2023-1.3%-2.0%+10.3%
Q2 2023-10.9%-7.9%-8.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+2.7%+4.9%
Q4 2022+7.1%+8.0%+10.4%
Q3 2022+11.6%+14.0%+15.3%
Q2 2022+0.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2022-11.3%-12.9%+1.5%
Q4 2021-2.7%-6.1%-11.5%
Q3 2021+5.4%+8.5%+0.0%
Q2 2021-1.3%-1.5%+3.6%
Q1 2021+4.5%+3.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.4%+5.2%
Q3 2020-2.3%-2.8%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2020-6.7%-15.6%-3.2%
Q4 2019-6.1%-4.6%-13.6%
Q3 2019+3.1%+5.9%+3.8%
Q2 2019+0.0%+2.4%+1.6%
Q1 2019+3.5%+4.8%+0.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-3.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018+9.5%+15.6%+11.6%
Q2 2018-4.0%-5.4%-3.9%
Q1 2018-5.6%-8.5%-3.5%
Q4 2017+2.5%-2.2%-6.8%
Q3 2017+0.1%-7.1%-9.3%
Q2 2017+1.5%+1.8%-3.0%
Q1 2017+2.1%-1.2%-8.5%
Q4 2016-0.4%-3.5%-1.1%
Q3 2016-0.3%-0.1%+15.4%
Q2 2016-1.0%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014-2.6%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-0.1%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+17.4%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+6.5%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-1.1%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+4.9%
Q4 2011+4.9%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-9.7%
Q4 2010-9.7%
Q2 2011-9.7%
Q1 2010+0.3%

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