NYSE$HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hilltop Holdings' performance declined due to softening in the mortgage market and a severe decline in capital markets activity.

Hilltop Holdings Inc. reported a decrease in net income attributable to Hilltop to $22.3 million, and a diluted EPS of $0.28 for Q1 2022. The results were impacted by decreased pre-tax income in PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, and a pre-tax loss in HilltopSecurities.

  • PlainsCapital Bank generated $46.5 million in pre-tax income during Q1 2022, a decrease of $18.1 million from Q1 2021.
  • PrimeLending generated $6.5 million in pre-tax income during Q1 2022, a decrease of $86.5 million from Q1 2021.
  • HilltopSecurities incurred a pre-tax loss of $8.6 million during Q1 2022, a decrease of $26.3 million from Q1 2021.
  • Mortgage origination volume in Q1 2022 was $3.8 billion, a decline of 39% from Q1 2021; overall industry volume expected to decline approximately 37% over the same period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$316M

Previous: $523M-39.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $1.46-80.8%
Free Cash Flow

$22.3M

Previous: $120M-81.5%
Net Income

$22.3M

Previous: $120M-81.5%
Operating Income

$275M

Previous: $474M-42.1%
Gross Profit

$316M

Previous: $523M-39.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.89B

Previous: $1.56B+84.5%
Total Assets

$18.4B

Previous: $17.7B+3.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Hilltop · Revenue · Quarterly

$316M

Q1 2022-39.5%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hilltop · $176M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Broker-Dealer
    $92.8M
  • Mortgage Origination
    $71.4M
  • Banking
    $11.9M

Forward guidance

Hilltop Holdings provided outlook for 2022, including loan growth, deposit growth, net interest income, noninterest income, noninterest expense, provision expense and effective tax rate.

Tailwinds

  • 1 – 4 family loan retention $25 – $50 million per month, throughout 2022
  • Full year average bank loan growth 2% – 5%, excluding PPP loans and retained mortgages
  • NII growth 3% – 6%, headwinds from lower PPP and accretion
  • Outlook assumes eight rate increases by the Federal Reserve during 2022
  • Non - variable expenses increase 2% – 5%

Headwinds

  • Full year average total deposits decline 3% – 7%, excluding any additional stimulus efforts
  • Purchase accounting accretion expected to decline by 50% versus 2021 levels
  • Loan floors and competition expected to pressure loan yields during 2022
  • Mortgage gain on sale margins continue to be pressured as volumes decline across the industry, full year average 270 – 300 bps (third party sales)
  • Broker Dealer fees decline 5% – 15%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

30 / 66 earnings

Positive

+17.4%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.3%-0.8%-2.0%
Q4 2025+2.2%+6.6%+1.7%
Q3 2025+4.6%+0.1%+4.6%
Q2 2025-2.4%+0.8%+5.7%
Q1 2025-1.1%+0.8%+1.1%
Q4 2024-0.5%+8.3%+7.3%
Q3 2024+2.5%+1.5%+5.6%
Q2 2024-6.3%-5.2%-5.1%
Q1 2024+4.4%+5.1%+10.5%
Q4 2023-1.5%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2023-1.3%-2.0%+10.3%
Q2 2023-10.9%-7.9%-8.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+2.7%+4.9%
Q4 2022+7.1%+8.0%+10.4%
Q3 2022+11.6%+14.0%+15.3%
Q2 2022+0.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2022-11.3%-12.9%+1.5%
Q4 2021-2.7%-6.1%-11.5%
Q3 2021+5.4%+8.5%+0.0%
Q2 2021-1.3%-1.5%+3.6%
Q1 2021+4.5%+3.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.4%+5.2%
Q3 2020-2.3%-2.8%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2020-6.7%-15.6%-3.2%
Q4 2019-6.1%-4.6%-13.6%
Q3 2019+3.1%+5.9%+3.8%
Q2 2019+0.0%+2.4%+1.6%
Q1 2019+3.5%+4.8%+0.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-3.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018+9.5%+15.6%+11.6%
Q2 2018-4.0%-5.4%-3.9%
Q1 2018-5.6%-8.5%-3.5%
Q4 2017+2.5%-2.2%-6.8%
Q3 2017+0.1%-7.1%-9.3%
Q2 2017+1.5%+1.8%-3.0%
Q1 2017+2.1%-1.2%-8.5%
Q4 2016-0.4%-3.5%-1.1%
Q3 2016-0.3%-0.1%+15.4%
Q2 2016-1.0%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014-2.6%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-0.1%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+17.4%
Q2 2013-4.2%
Q1 2013+6.5%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-1.1%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+4.9%
Q4 2011+4.9%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-9.7%
Q4 2010-9.7%
Q2 2011-9.7%
Q1 2010+0.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro