NYSE$GXO

GXO Logistics Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

GXO Logistics reported strong Q4 2022 results, with revenue up 9.1% year-over-year and significant adjusted EBITDA growth.

GXO Logistics reported Q4 2022 results with revenue of $2.5 billion, a 9.1% increase year-over-year. Net income was $46 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached $205 million, reflecting strong growth and successful execution during the peak season. The company reaffirmed its 2023 guidance.

  • Revenue increased to $2.5 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year, including 7.5% organic revenue growth.
  • Net income attributable to GXO was $46 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $205 million, a 23% increase year-over-year.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.39, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.83.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.47B

Previous: $2.26B+9.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.83

Previous: $0.73+13.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$205M

Previous: $167M+22.8%
Organic revenue growth

7.5%

Previous: 19.0%-60.5%
Cash flows from operations

$226M

Previous: $204M+10.8%
Capital Expenditures

$103M

Previous: $70M+47.1%
Free Cash Flow

$141M

Previous: $137M+2.9%
Net Income

$46M

Previous: $56M-17.9%
Operating Income

$74M

Previous: $63M+17.5%
Gross Profit

$345M

Previous: $274M+25.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$495M

Previous: $333M+48.6%
Total Assets

$9.22B

Previous: $7.27B+26.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $6M+50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

GXO Logistics · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.47B

Q4 2022+9.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

GXO Logistics · $2.47B total across 6 segments · Q4 2022

  • Omnichannel retail
    $1.03B-14.2%
  • Technology and consumer electronics
    $374M
  • Food and beverage
    $318M-10.7%
  • Industrial and manufacturing
    $269M+7.2%
  • Consumer packaged goods
    $252M-3.1%
  • Other
    $223M+15.5%

Forward guidance

GXO reaffirmed the full year guidance provided at its Investor Day in January. Expects a softer macroeconomic environment this year, but wins to date combined with predictability and resilience of business give them great confidence entering 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Organic revenue growth of 6% to 8%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $700 million to $730 million.
  • Free cash flow conversion of approximately 30% of adjusted EBITDA.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.30 to $2.50.
  • Expects to reduce net leverage to about 1.5x by the end of the year.

Headwinds

  • Expect a softer macroeconomic environment this year.
  • Variability and complexity of the reconciling items described above that we exclude from these non-GAAP target measures.
  • The variability of these items may have a significant impact on our future GAAP financial results
  • Supply chain challenges, including labor shortages
  • Potential cyber-attacks and information technology or data security breaches

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

15 / 24 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-15.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.0%+0.8%-2.6%
Q4 2025+9.2%+12.9%-9.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-7.9%-5.1%
Q1 2025+4.1%+6.5%+10.8%
Q4 2024-15.1%-3.7%-6.1%
Q3 2024-1.5%+2.0%-13.2%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.2%-3.4%
Q1 2024-1.0%+3.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.6%-3.4%-12.1%
Q3 2023+3.1%+1.4%+8.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-2.2%-1.5%
Q1 2023+2.8%+5.5%+16.4%
Q4 2022-5.3%-6.6%-13.6%
Q3 2022+2.2%+24.1%+21.2%
Q2 2022+4.5%-3.6%-12.8%
Q1 2021-2.1%-8.2%-11.8%
Q1 2022+4.1%-7.8%-9.1%
Q4 2021+4.3%-1.3%-8.9%
Q3 2020+8.8%+2.9%+1.4%
Q3 2021+6.8%+5.3%+3.6%
Q2 2020+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q2 2021+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q4 2020+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q4 2019+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q1 2020

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro