NYSE$GXO

GXO Logistics Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue and raised full-year profit guidance.

GXO Logistics reported a strong start to the year with record first-quarter revenue of $2.3 billion, up 12% year over year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $158 million. The company raised its full-year 2023 profit guidance, with adjusted diluted EPS now expected to be $2.40-$2.60 and adjusted EBITDA expected to be $715-$745 million.

  • Record first quarter revenue of $2.3 billion, up 12% year over year; organic revenue growth of 7%.
  • Net income attributable to GXO of $25 million; adjusted EBITDA of $158 million; diluted EPS of $0.21 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.49.
  • Full-year 2023 profit guidance raised: Adjusted diluted EPS raised $0.10, now expected to be $2.40-$2.60; Adjusted EBITDA raised $15 million, now expected to be $715-$745 million.
  • Sales pipeline grows to approximately $2.3 billion, up from fourth quarter 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.32B

Previous: $2.08B+11.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.49

Previous: $0.59-16.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$158M

Previous: $155M+1.9%
Organic revenue growth

6.6%

Previous: 19.0%-65.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$91M

Previous: -$65M-40.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$66M

Previous: -$28M-135.7%
Net Income

$25M

Previous: $37M-32.4%
Operating Income

$42M

Previous: $37M+13.5%
Gross Profit

-$1.91B

Previous: -$1.75B-9.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$426M

Previous: $312M+36.5%
Total Assets

$9.09B

Previous: $7.13B+27.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $6M+50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

GXO Logistics · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.32B

Q1 2023+11.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

GXO Logistics · $2.32B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Omnichannel retail
    $968M-14.3%
  • Technology and consumer electronics
    $366M
  • Food and beverage
    $307M-9.2%
  • Industrial and manufacturing
    $272M+3.4%
  • Consumer packaged goods
    $253M+18.8%
  • Other
    $157M+12.9%

Forward guidance

GXO's current 2023 financial outlook includes organic revenue growth of 6% to 8%, adjusted EBITDA of $715 million to $745 million, free cash flow conversion of approximately 30% of adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.40 to $2.60.

Tailwinds

  • Organic revenue growth of 6% to 8%
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $715 million to $745 million (raised from $700 million to $730 million)
  • Free cash flow conversion of approximately 30% of adjusted EBITDA
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.40 to $2.60 (raised from $2.30 to $2.50)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

15 / 24 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-15.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.0%+0.8%-2.6%
Q4 2025+9.2%+12.9%-9.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-7.9%-5.1%
Q1 2025+4.1%+6.5%+10.8%
Q4 2024-15.1%-3.7%-6.1%
Q3 2024-1.5%+2.0%-13.2%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.2%-3.4%
Q1 2024-1.0%+3.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.6%-3.4%-12.1%
Q3 2023+3.1%+1.4%+8.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-2.2%-1.5%
Q1 2023+2.8%+5.5%+16.4%
Q4 2022-5.3%-6.6%-13.6%
Q3 2022+2.2%+24.1%+21.2%
Q2 2022+4.5%-3.6%-12.8%
Q1 2021-2.1%-8.2%-11.8%
Q1 2022+4.1%-7.8%-9.1%
Q4 2021+4.3%-1.3%-8.9%
Q3 2020+8.8%+2.9%+1.4%
Q3 2021+6.8%+5.3%+3.6%
Q2 2020+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q2 2021+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q4 2020+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q4 2019+3.0%+22.6%+29.1%
Q1 2020

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