NYSE$CMA
Comerica Inc · Q1 2021 earnings
Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Generated first quarter earnings, driven by a reduction in credit reserve, robust fee-generating activity, and expense discipline.
Comerica reported a strong start to the year with Q1 2021 earnings of $2.43 per share, a 59% increase over the fourth quarter. The results were driven by a reduction in the credit reserve, robust fee-generating activity, and expense discipline. The company plans to resume share repurchases in the second quarter.
- Net income was $350 million, or $2.43 per share.
- Credit quality improved with a reduction in the credit reserve due to improvements in the economic outlook and decreases in nonaccrual and criticized loans.
- Noninterest income increased 2% over the previous quarter, driven by robust fee-generating activity.
- Expenses decreased 4% due to expense discipline.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Comerica · Revenue · Quarterly
$713M
Forward guidance
Management expects continued improvement in economic conditions. The second quarter of 2021, compared to the first quarter of 2021, expects increase in net interest income as lease residual adjustment ($17 million in first quarter) does not repeat.
Tailwinds
- Solid average loan growth in nearly all business lines (excluding PPP)
- Average deposits to remain strong, benefiting from latest stimulus.
- Increase in net interest income as lease residual adjustment ($17 million in first quarter) does not repeat.
- Strong credit quality continues, with provision reflecting economic conditions.
- Resume share purchases; CET1 target of approximately 10 percent.
Headwinds
- Average loans (excluding PPP) reflect decline in PPP loans due to forgiveness process.
- Average deposits begin to wane as customers put cash to use.
- Net interest income reflects lower securities yields.
- Decrease in noninterest income as first quarter levels of derivatives, warrants and deferred compensation asset returns not expected to repeat.
- Stable noninterest expenses reflect lower salaries and benefits (annual stock-based compensation and deferred compensation asset returns not expected to repeat, as well as seasonally lower payroll taxes partly offset by merit increases and one additional day in the second quarter) offset by increase in outside processing as well as seasonal increases in occupancy and advertising.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
-1.9%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.0%
Avg return
30 days after
52%
36 / 69 earnings
Positive
+7.7%
Q3 2016
Best reaction
-12.9%
Q3 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +2.0% | +3.3% | — | |
| Q3 2025 | +1.4% | +3.7% | +6.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | +4.6% | +6.7% | +8.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -4.4% | +0.3% | +5.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | -5.3% | -1.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0% | -1.0% | +10.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | -9.3% | -8.9% | -0.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +3.5% | +5.7% | +9.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -8.8% | |
| Q3 2023 | -7.8% | -7.8% | +8.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.1% | +1.0% | -10.8% | |
| Q1 2023 | -7.1% | -13.5% | -18.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | +4.8% | +7.9% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | -12.9% | -9.5% | -6.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +9.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -8.1% | -6.9% | -18.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.0% | -9.0% | -3.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2021 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2020 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2020 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2019 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2019 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2018 | +7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2018 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2017 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2016 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2016 | +7.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | +6.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -5.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +1.6% | — | — |
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