NYSE$CMA
Comerica Inc · Q1 2020 earnings
Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported a net loss due to large credit reserves and, to a lesser degree, the net impact of the decline in interest rates.
Comerica reported a net loss of $65 million for Q1 2020, primarily due to a substantial increase in credit reserves and the impact of declining interest rates. Loans increased by over $3 billion in late March, supporting customer borrowing needs, and average deposits rose by $2.8 billion year-over-year.
- Net loss of $65 million, or $0.46 per share
- Record $53.5 billion in period-end loans, up $3.1 billion
- Allowance for loan losses of $916 million, or 1.71% of total loans
- Efficiency ratio of under 57 percent.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Comerica · Revenue · Quarterly
$750M
Forward guidance
Based on management expectations for recessionary conditions, Comerica anticipates growth in average loans and deposits, a decrease in net interest income, and stable noninterest income. Provision for credit losses is highly uncertain and will reflect the economic environment. Noninterest expenses are expected to increase, and capital will reflect the suspension of the share repurchase program.
Tailwinds
- Growth in average loans, reflecting an increase in Mortgage Banker Finance and support of customers' liquidity needs, including through the Paycheck Protection Program, partly offset by customers' reduced working capital and capital expenditure needs.
- Growth in average deposits as customers conserve liquidity and receive benefits of economic stimulus programs, partly offset by customers using cash to meet operating needs.
- Capital to reflect suspension of share repurchase program and focus on supporting customers' financing needs as well as providing an attractive dividend.
- Stable noninterest income with increase in card fees offset by reduced economic activity and lower market-based fees.
- Current reserve is appropriate based on expected recessionary conditions as of March 31, 2020.
Headwinds
- Decrease in net interest income due to the net impact of lower interest rates, partially offset by loan growth.
- Estimated $55 million net reduction from lower interest rates.
- Provision for credit losses highly uncertain, reflective of economic environment, including the effects resulting from the duration and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Increase in noninterest expenses from higher outside processing expenses and costs related to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the impact of merit increases, partially offset by continued expense discipline.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
-1.9%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.0%
Avg return
30 days after
52%
36 / 69 earnings
Positive
+7.7%
Q3 2016
Best reaction
-12.9%
Q3 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +2.0% | +3.3% | — | |
| Q3 2025 | +1.4% | +3.7% | +6.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | +4.6% | +6.7% | +8.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -4.4% | +0.3% | +5.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | -5.3% | -1.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0% | -1.0% | +10.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | -9.3% | -8.9% | -0.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +3.5% | +5.7% | +9.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -8.8% | |
| Q3 2023 | -7.8% | -7.8% | +8.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.1% | +1.0% | -10.8% | |
| Q1 2023 | -7.1% | -13.5% | -18.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | +4.8% | +7.9% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | -12.9% | -9.5% | -6.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +9.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -8.1% | -6.9% | -18.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.0% | -9.0% | -3.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2021 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2020 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2020 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2019 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2019 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2018 | +7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2018 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2017 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2016 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2016 | +7.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | +6.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -5.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +1.6% | — | — |
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