NYSE$CMA

Comerica Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Demonstrated strength and resilience amidst disruptive industry events, impacted by notable items but strategically managed balance sheet.

Comerica's Q4 2023 net income was $33 million, or $0.20 per share, impacted by several notable items including FDIC special assessment and BSBY cessation hedging losses. The company demonstrated strong credit quality and capital position while navigating industry events. Strategic management of the balance sheet produced loan and deposit results in line with expectations.

  • Net income was $33 million, or $0.20 per share.
  • Average loans were $52.8 billion.
  • Average deposits were $66.0 billion.
  • Credit quality remained strong with net charge-offs at 0.15% of average total loans.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$782M

Previous: $1.02B-23.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.46

Previous: $2.58-43.4%
Efficiency Ratio

91.9%

Previous: 53.0%+73.3%
Net Interest Margin

2.9%

Previous: 3.7%-22.2%
CET1 Capital Ratio

11.1%

Previous: 10.0%+10.7%
Net Income

$33M

Previous: $350M-90.6%
Operating Income

$52M

Previous: $446M-88.3%
Gross Profit

$1.32B

Previous: $1.02B+29.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$8M

Previous: $12M-33.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Comerica · Revenue · Quarterly

$782M

Q4 2023-23.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Comerica is strategically positioned to support customers and enhance returns through balance sheet management, expense calibration, and prioritized investments.

Tailwinds

  • Strategic actions to manage the balance sheet
  • Calibration of expenses
  • Prioritization of key investments
  • Well-positioned to support customers
  • Potential to enhance returns over time

Headwinds

  • Fourth quarter results were impacted by several notable items
  • Deposits were impacted by diversification efforts
  • Uncertain economic outlook
  • Credit migration
  • Changes in portfolio composition

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+7.7%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-12.9%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2025+1.4%+3.7%+6.0%
Q2 2025+4.6%+6.7%+8.8%
Q1 2025-4.4%+0.3%+5.6%
Q4 2024-5.6%-5.3%-1.3%
Q3 2024-1.0%-1.0%+10.1%
Q2 2024-9.3%-8.9%-0.1%
Q1 2024+3.5%+5.7%+9.4%
Q4 2023+2.6%+0.3%-8.8%
Q3 2023-7.8%-7.8%+8.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%+1.0%-10.8%
Q1 2023-7.1%-13.5%-18.6%
Q4 2022+4.8%+7.9%+10.5%
Q3 2022-12.9%-9.5%-6.2%
Q2 2022+1.9%+1.5%+9.2%
Q1 2022-8.1%-6.9%-18.9%
Q4 2021-6.0%-9.0%-3.7%
Q3 2021+3.1%
Q2 2021+2.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%
Q4 2020-1.0%
Q3 2020+2.9%
Q2 2020+5.0%
Q1 2020+2.8%
Q4 2019-3.4%
Q3 2019-3.6%
Q2 2019-3.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%
Q4 2018+7.6%
Q3 2018+1.9%
Q2 2018+3.4%
Q1 2018-2.9%
Q4 2017+1.8%
Q3 2017+1.6%
Q2 2017-2.7%
Q1 2017+1.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%
Q3 2016+7.7%
Q2 2016+3.4%
Q1 2016+6.0%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015-4.7%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014+0.7%
Q1 2014-0.0%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012+5.1%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2012-4.5%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q1 2009-1.9%
Q4 2010-1.9%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q4 2008-1.9%
Q3 2010+0.5%
Q3 2009+0.5%
Q2 2010+1.6%
Q2 2009+1.6%

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