NYSE$BLD

TopBuild Corp. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

TopBuild reported revenue growth and improved margins in Q4 2024.

TopBuild Corp. posted Q4 2024 revenue of $1.31 billion, marking a 2.0% year-over-year increase, driven by a 6.6% rise in Specialty Distribution sales. Operating income grew to $217.45 million, while net income reached $150.54 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved slightly to 19.7%.

  • Revenue increased by 2.0% year-over-year to $1.31 billion.
  • Specialty Distribution sales grew by 6.6%, while Installation remained flat.
  • Net income rose to $150.54 million, with diluted EPS at $5.11.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 19.7%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.31B

Previous: $1.29B+2.0%
EPS (adj)

$5.13

Previous: $4.69+9.4%
Gross margin

29.9%

No prior period
Operating margin

16.6%

Previous: 15.9%+4.4%
Adjusted EBITDA margin

19.7%

Previous: 19.6%+0.5%
Net Income

$151M

Previous: $146M+2.8%
Operating Income

$217M

Previous: $205M+6.2%
Gross Profit

$392M

Previous: $391M+0.2%

Revenue & EPS history

TopBuild · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.31B

Q4 2024+2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TopBuild expects stable revenue in FY 2025 with ongoing capital investments and a focus on acquisitions.

Tailwinds

  • Projected full-year revenue of $5.05 - $5.35 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA expected between $925 million and $1.075 billion.
  • Acquisitions remain a top priority for growth.
  • Investments in operational efficiencies and energy reduction initiatives.
  • Potential for further margin improvement through pricing strategies.

Headwinds

  • Residential sales expected to decline mid-single digits.
  • Commercial/Industrial growth projected at low-single digits.
  • Higher expected capital expenditures at 1.5 - 2.0% of sales.
  • Interest expense forecasted between $49 - $55 million.
  • Uncertain market conditions in residential construction.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

31 / 49 earnings

Positive

+14.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-0.8%-5.8%
Q4 2025-3.7%-10.8%-28.2%
Q3 2025-1.1%+0.0%+4.8%
Q1 2025-3.1%+1.1%+3.1%
Q4 2024+2.7%+1.4%+3.0%
Q3 2024+2.5%+1.9%+3.3%
Q2 2024-14.1%-12.4%-14.4%
Q1 2024-5.0%-0.8%-1.8%
Q4 2023-2.6%-2.1%+6.7%
Q3 2023+11.1%+20.5%+34.8%
Q2 2023+7.5%+9.2%+8.3%
Q1 2023-3.1%-5.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+4.1%+4.8%-2.5%
Q3 2022-13.1%-13.9%-7.1%
Q2 2022-6.0%-9.4%-16.5%
Q1 2022+1.0%-0.5%+4.2%
Q4 2021-12.7%-6.1%-12.4%
Q3 2021-1.4%+0.4%+5.0%
Q2 2021+6.0%+8.5%+9.1%
Q1 2021-2.7%-8.5%-15.0%
Q4 2020+1.2%-5.3%+0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+6.4%+7.4%
Q2 2020+3.6%+4.4%+12.6%
Q1 2020+8.6%+11.2%+36.6%
Q4 2019-10.0%-16.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019+14.2%+10.5%+14.3%
Q2 2019+10.3%+8.9%+14.2%
Q1 2019+7.8%+13.2%+8.5%
Q4 2018+1.7%+2.3%+11.0%
Q3 2018+7.8%+3.8%-2.6%
Q2 2018-0.4%+0.8%-18.1%
Q1 2018+4.2%+6.2%+8.5%
Q4 2017-5.0%-1.2%+4.3%
Q3 2017-2.2%-0.4%+1.0%
Q2 2017+4.6%+3.7%+5.5%
Q1 2017+2.2%+1.5%+3.5%
Q4 2016+8.2%+7.7%+14.6%
Q3 2016+9.9%+15.4%+25.5%
Q2 2016-7.8%-7.8%-8.5%
Q1 2016+2.6%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q4 2015+0.7%
Q3 2015+11.5%
Q3 2014+11.5%
Q4 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014+2.2%
Q2 2015+2.2%

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