NYSE$BLD

TopBuild Corp. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TopBuild reported strong Q3 sales and adjusted EBITDA, achieving record quarterly levels, driven by growth in Installation and Specialty Distribution segments.

TopBuild Corp. reported a strong performance for the third quarter of 2024, with sales reaching $1.37 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $285 million, representing the highest quarterly sales and profit in the company's history. The company is narrowing its 2024 outlook based on assumptions for a continued uneven housing environment and the ongoing delay of certain commercial/industrial projects.

  • Third quarter sales reached $1.37 billion, driven by Installation and Specialty Distribution growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $285 million.
  • Gross margin was 30.7% and adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.8%.
  • 2024 guidance narrowed to $5.3 to $5.35 billion in revenue and $1.055 to $1.085 billion in adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.37B

Previous: $1.33B+3.6%
EPS (adj)

$5.68

Previous: $5.43+4.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$56.8M

Previous: -$48.1M-18.1%
Free Cash Flow

$112M

Previous: $120M-6.2%
Net Income

$169M

Previous: $168M+0.8%
Operating Income

$244M

Previous: $237M+2.7%
Gross Profit

$422M

Previous: $421M+0.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$257M

Previous: $616M-58.2%
Total Assets

$4.65B

Previous: $5.01B-7.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.65M

Previous: $4.19M-13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

TopBuild · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.37B

Q3 2024+3.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TopBuild narrowed its full year 2024 outlook, based on the Company’s assumptions for a continued uneven housing environment and the ongoing delay of certain commercial/industrial projects.

Tailwinds

  • Strengthening requirements for energy efficiency
  • U.S. housing supply deficit
  • Increasing household formations
  • Prospect of lower interest rates driving growth
  • Healthy M&A pipeline

Headwinds

  • Continued uneven housing environment
  • Ongoing delay of certain commercial/industrial projects
  • Uncertainty regarding future costs and expenses
  • Potential variability of costs and expenses
  • Targets do not include effects related to potential acquisitions or divestitures

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

31 / 49 earnings

Positive

+14.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-0.8%-5.8%
Q4 2025-3.7%-10.8%-28.2%
Q3 2025-1.1%+0.0%+4.8%
Q1 2025-3.1%+1.1%+3.1%
Q4 2024+2.7%+1.4%+3.0%
Q3 2024+2.5%+1.9%+3.3%
Q2 2024-14.1%-12.4%-14.4%
Q1 2024-5.0%-0.8%-1.8%
Q4 2023-2.6%-2.1%+6.7%
Q3 2023+11.1%+20.5%+34.8%
Q2 2023+7.5%+9.2%+8.3%
Q1 2023-3.1%-5.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+4.1%+4.8%-2.5%
Q3 2022-13.1%-13.9%-7.1%
Q2 2022-6.0%-9.4%-16.5%
Q1 2022+1.0%-0.5%+4.2%
Q4 2021-12.7%-6.1%-12.4%
Q3 2021-1.4%+0.4%+5.0%
Q2 2021+6.0%+8.5%+9.1%
Q1 2021-2.7%-8.5%-15.0%
Q4 2020+1.2%-5.3%+0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+6.4%+7.4%
Q2 2020+3.6%+4.4%+12.6%
Q1 2020+8.6%+11.2%+36.6%
Q4 2019-10.0%-16.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019+14.2%+10.5%+14.3%
Q2 2019+10.3%+8.9%+14.2%
Q1 2019+7.8%+13.2%+8.5%
Q4 2018+1.7%+2.3%+11.0%
Q3 2018+7.8%+3.8%-2.6%
Q2 2018-0.4%+0.8%-18.1%
Q1 2018+4.2%+6.2%+8.5%
Q4 2017-5.0%-1.2%+4.3%
Q3 2017-2.2%-0.4%+1.0%
Q2 2017+4.6%+3.7%+5.5%
Q1 2017+2.2%+1.5%+3.5%
Q4 2016+8.2%+7.7%+14.6%
Q3 2016+9.9%+15.4%+25.5%
Q2 2016-7.8%-7.8%-8.5%
Q1 2016+2.6%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q4 2015+0.7%
Q3 2015+11.5%
Q3 2014+11.5%
Q4 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014+2.2%
Q2 2015+2.2%

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