NYSE$AL

Air Lease Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ALC's Q4 2020 financial results demonstrated the durability of its business model and the strength of its team amidst the toughest year in the history of the global airline industry.

Air Lease Corporation (ALC) reported a revenue of $489.102 million and a net income available to common stockholders of $107.249 million for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company took delivery of 10 aircraft from its orderbook and purchased 14 aircraft from the secondary market, representing $1.1 billion in aircraft investments.

  • ALC's Q4 and full-year 2020 financial results reflect the durability of the business model and the strength of the team.
  • The company expects the difficult environment to continue for most of 2021, but has confidence in airline industry improvement in parallel with global pandemic recovery.
  • ALC is seeing increased aircraft sales and trading interest, good momentum expanding its management business, and continued placements from its orderbook.
  • A number of ALC's lessees have raised substantial capital or received government aid, appreciating ALC's financial strength and experience.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$489M

Previous: $549M-10.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.30

Previous: $1.42-8.5%
Weighted avg fleet age

4.1

Previous: 3.5+17.1%
Weighted avg lease term

6.9

Previous: 7.2-4.2%
Capital Expenditures

$18.1M

Previous: $54.4M-66.7%
Free Cash Flow

$354M

Previous: $367M-3.3%
Net Income

$111M

Previous: $165M-32.6%
Operating Income

$138M

Previous: $206M-33.2%
Gross Profit

$172M

Previous: $254M-32.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.73B

Previous: $317M+446.2%
Total Assets

$25.2B

Previous: $21.7B+16.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.67M

Previous: $5.81M-54.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ALC · Revenue · Quarterly

$489M

Q4 2020-10.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ALC · $561M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Rental of flight equipment
    $561M

Forward guidance

Air Lease Corporation anticipates reduced sales activity in 2021 compared to previous years due to aircraft delivery delays. They expect challenges when transitioning, acquiring, or selling aircraft due to travel restrictions and other impacts from COVID-19. The company cannot reasonably estimate the continued impacts of COVID-19 on its business, results of operations, and financial condition for the foreseeable future.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

39 / 63 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-17.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
Q3 2025-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.7%+15.4%
Q1 2025+8.1%+10.0%+17.0%
Q4 2024+6.7%+10.3%-0.7%
Q3 2024-0.5%+2.2%+5.7%
Q2 2024-17.2%-14.6%-6.8%
Q1 2024-7.0%-4.5%-8.7%
Q4 2023-2.9%-4.1%+11.4%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.4%+5.7%
Q2 2023-0.9%+0.9%-1.4%
Q1 2023-3.4%-5.9%-5.5%
Q4 2022-4.2%-6.2%-18.5%
Q3 2022+1.3%+2.9%+12.7%
Q2 2022+2.1%+0.8%-3.5%
Q1 2022-6.6%-11.7%-8.8%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.1%-4.0%
Q3 2021+10.1%+11.6%-8.1%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.0%-3.6%
Q1 2021-9.1%-7.6%-3.9%
Q4 2020+4.0%+2.0%+3.8%
Q3 2020+10.6%+15.4%+34.5%
Q2 2020+5.1%+10.7%+13.3%
Q1 2020+15.5%+1.7%+49.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%-3.4%-47.5%
Q3 2019-1.1%-1.6%+1.3%
Q2 2019+3.6%+0.7%+8.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%+0.5%+0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%-0.5%-14.7%
Q3 2018-0.2%-3.7%-10.2%
Q2 2018+1.7%+1.8%-0.4%
Q1 2018-0.6%+0.6%+1.8%
Q4 2017+1.5%-3.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+1.3%-3.2%+2.8%
Q2 2017+8.3%+8.1%+3.0%
Q1 2017-4.5%-7.5%-0.8%
Q4 2016-4.7%-2.6%-5.6%
Q3 2016+4.7%+4.8%+16.3%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.4%+4.8%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+3.4%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+4.9%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013+2.0%
Q4 2012+5.9%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012-6.2%
Q1 2011-6.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q3 2010+2.6%
Q2 2010+7.1%
Q2 2011+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q1 2010

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