NYSE$AL

Air Lease Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first quarter results driven by fleet growth and increased air travel demand.

Air Lease Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2023, with revenues increasing by 6.6% to $636.1 million and net income attributable to common stockholders reaching $118.3 million, or $1.06 per diluted share. The results were driven by robust fleet growth and expanding global air travel demand.

  • ALC's revenues increased by 6.6% to $636.1 million compared to the same period last year.
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders was $118.3 million, or $1.06 per diluted share, a significant improvement from the previous year's net loss.
  • The company took delivery of 22 aircraft, representing approximately $1.4 billion in aircraft investments.
  • ALC extended the final maturity of its $7.2 billion syndicated unsecured revolving credit facility by one year to May 5, 2027.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$636M

Previous: $597M+6.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.50

Previous: $1.76-14.8%
Net book value fleet

$25.7B

Previous: $22.3B+15.2%
Weighted avg fleet age

4.5

Previous: 4.5+0.0%
Weighted avg lease term

7.1

Previous: 7+1.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$53.9M

Previous: -$53M-1.8%
Free Cash Flow

$74.8M

Previous: -$522M+114.3%
Net Income

$129M

Previous: -$469M+127.4%
Operating Income

$158M

Previous: -$602M+126.3%
Gross Profit

$636M

Previous: $597M+6.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$690M

Previous: $1.49B-53.7%
Total Assets

$29.4B

Previous: $26.9B+9.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.9M

Previous: -$2.52M+333.7%

Revenue & EPS history

ALC · Revenue · Quarterly

$636M

Q1 2023+6.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ALC · $561M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Rental of flight equipment
    $561M

Forward guidance

Air Lease Corporation anticipates OEM delivery delays persisting for several years ahead.

Tailwinds

  • Global air travel demand continues to expand meaningfully.
  • Airline yields are healthy.
  • Aircraft capacity remains constrained.
  • The need for new fuel-efficient commercial aircraft continues to rise.
  • Orderbook positions and existing fleet values are bolstered.

Headwinds

  • OEM delivery delays are expected to persist for several years.
  • Increases in the company's composite cost of funds.
  • Aircraft transition costs increased.
  • Insurance expense increased.
  • Lower end of lease revenue recognized.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

39 / 63 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-17.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
Q3 2025-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.7%+15.4%
Q1 2025+8.1%+10.0%+17.0%
Q4 2024+6.7%+10.3%-0.7%
Q3 2024-0.5%+2.2%+5.7%
Q2 2024-17.2%-14.6%-6.8%
Q1 2024-7.0%-4.5%-8.7%
Q4 2023-2.9%-4.1%+11.4%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.4%+5.7%
Q2 2023-0.9%+0.9%-1.4%
Q1 2023-3.4%-5.9%-5.5%
Q4 2022-4.2%-6.2%-18.5%
Q3 2022+1.3%+2.9%+12.7%
Q2 2022+2.1%+0.8%-3.5%
Q1 2022-6.6%-11.7%-8.8%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.1%-4.0%
Q3 2021+10.1%+11.6%-8.1%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.0%-3.6%
Q1 2021-9.1%-7.6%-3.9%
Q4 2020+4.0%+2.0%+3.8%
Q3 2020+10.6%+15.4%+34.5%
Q2 2020+5.1%+10.7%+13.3%
Q1 2020+15.5%+1.7%+49.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%-3.4%-47.5%
Q3 2019-1.1%-1.6%+1.3%
Q2 2019+3.6%+0.7%+8.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%+0.5%+0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%-0.5%-14.7%
Q3 2018-0.2%-3.7%-10.2%
Q2 2018+1.7%+1.8%-0.4%
Q1 2018-0.6%+0.6%+1.8%
Q4 2017+1.5%-3.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+1.3%-3.2%+2.8%
Q2 2017+8.3%+8.1%+3.0%
Q1 2017-4.5%-7.5%-0.8%
Q4 2016-4.7%-2.6%-5.6%
Q3 2016+4.7%+4.8%+16.3%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.4%+4.8%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+3.4%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+4.9%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013+2.0%
Q4 2012+5.9%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012-6.2%
Q1 2011-6.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q3 2010+2.6%
Q2 2010+7.1%
Q2 2011+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q1 2010

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