NYSE$AL

Air Lease Corporation · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a good quarter with record high rental revenues, total assets, and lease placements, as well as the lowest composite funding rate in the company's history.

Air Lease Corporation announced its Q3 2021 results, showing an increase in revenues driven by fleet growth and cash collections. The company placed a record number of aircraft with lessees and saw a rise in quarterly rental revenue. The Board of Directors also authorized an increase in the quarterly common stock dividend.

  • Placed a record number of 64 aircraft with lessees, the highest in ALC history.
  • Recorded $520 million of rental revenue during the third quarter, the highest quarterly rental revenue since ALC’s inception.
  • Took delivery of 16 aircraft from our orderbook, representing $808 million in aircraft investments.
  • Increased quarterly cash dividend by approximately 15.6%, from $0.16 per share to $0.185 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$525M

Previous: $494M+6.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: $1.47-12.9%
Net book value fleet

$22.1B

Previous: $19.5B+13.3%
Weighted avg fleet age

4.4

Previous: 4+10.0%
Weighted avg lease term

7

Previous: 6.9+1.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$178M

Previous: -$143M-24.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$71M

Previous: -$22.5M-216.1%
Net Income

$107M

Previous: $120M-10.8%
Operating Income

$135M

Previous: $153M-12.2%
Gross Profit

$525M

Previous: $494M+6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.87B

Previous: $1.24B+51.3%
Total Assets

$27B

Previous: $23.6B+14.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.69M

Previous: $6.64M+0.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ALC · Revenue · Quarterly

$525M

Q3 2021+6.3%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ALC · $561M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Rental of flight equipment
    $561M

Forward guidance

The company anticipates continued growth and recovery in the airline industry, with international volume poised for strong recovery as travel restrictions are relaxed.

Tailwinds

  • Growing demand for new aircraft, especially single aisle aircraft.
  • Optimism in the future of the business and global airline travel.
  • Industry relying on ALC and the leasing sector to achieve fleet modernization objectives.
  • Trend persisting for the foreseeable future.
  • Global air traffic continues to improve.

Headwinds

  • Long road remaining ahead for the recovery of airline financial performance.
  • Ongoing manufacturer delays.
  • Impact of COVID-19 may continue to affect the business.
  • Aircraft delivery schedule could continue to be subject to material changes.
  • Delivery delays could potentially extend well into 2022 and beyond.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

39 / 63 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-17.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
Q3 2025-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.7%+15.4%
Q1 2025+8.1%+10.0%+17.0%
Q4 2024+6.7%+10.3%-0.7%
Q3 2024-0.5%+2.2%+5.7%
Q2 2024-17.2%-14.6%-6.8%
Q1 2024-7.0%-4.5%-8.7%
Q4 2023-2.9%-4.1%+11.4%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.4%+5.7%
Q2 2023-0.9%+0.9%-1.4%
Q1 2023-3.4%-5.9%-5.5%
Q4 2022-4.2%-6.2%-18.5%
Q3 2022+1.3%+2.9%+12.7%
Q2 2022+2.1%+0.8%-3.5%
Q1 2022-6.6%-11.7%-8.8%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.1%-4.0%
Q3 2021+10.1%+11.6%-8.1%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.0%-3.6%
Q1 2021-9.1%-7.6%-3.9%
Q4 2020+4.0%+2.0%+3.8%
Q3 2020+10.6%+15.4%+34.5%
Q2 2020+5.1%+10.7%+13.3%
Q1 2020+15.5%+1.7%+49.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%-3.4%-47.5%
Q3 2019-1.1%-1.6%+1.3%
Q2 2019+3.6%+0.7%+8.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%+0.5%+0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%-0.5%-14.7%
Q3 2018-0.2%-3.7%-10.2%
Q2 2018+1.7%+1.8%-0.4%
Q1 2018-0.6%+0.6%+1.8%
Q4 2017+1.5%-3.1%-8.5%
Q3 2017+1.3%-3.2%+2.8%
Q2 2017+8.3%+8.1%+3.0%
Q1 2017-4.5%-7.5%-0.8%
Q4 2016-4.7%-2.6%-5.6%
Q3 2016+4.7%+4.8%+16.3%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.4%+4.8%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+3.4%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+4.9%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013+2.0%
Q4 2012+5.9%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012-6.2%
Q1 2011-6.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q3 2010+2.6%
Q2 2010+7.1%
Q2 2011+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q1 2010

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