NASDAQ$UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record profit in Q4, surpassing expectations, and reaffirmed the path to double-digit pre-tax margin.

United Airlines reported strong Q4 2024 financial results with a significant increase in pre-tax margin. The company saw growth in premium, corporate, and Basic Economy revenues, as well as loyalty and cargo. They also finished first in on-time performance at all seven of their U.S. hubs.

  • Q4 pre-tax margin increased by 3.2 points year-over-year, or 3.5 points on an adjusted basis.
  • United finished the year as the leader in on-time departures across all seven of its United hubs.
  • The company sees robust demand in the first quarter of 2025.
  • Premium revenue was up 10%, corporate revenue was up 7% and revenue from Basic Economy was up 20% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14.7B

Previous: $13.6B+7.8%
EPS (adj)

$3.26

Previous: $2.00+63.0%
PRASM

16.95

Previous: 16.85+0.6%
CASM

16.85

Previous: 17.13-1.6%
Load Factor

82.3%

Previous: 82.3%+0.0%
Passenger Yield

20.59

Previous: 20.47+0.6%
Passengers

44.3M

Previous: 41.8M+6.1%
ASMs

78.3B

Previous: 73.7B+6.2%
RPMs

64.5B

Previous: 60.7B+6.3%
Stage Length

1.4K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.68B

Previous: -$2.07B+18.9%
Net Income

$985M

Previous: $600M+64.2%
Operating Income

$1.5B

Previous: $998M+50.6%
Gross Profit

$2.12B

Previous: $1.62B+31.3%

Revenue & EPS history

United Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$14.7B

Q4 2024+7.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Airlines · $14.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Passenger
    $13.3B
  • Other Operating
    $802M
  • Cargo
    $333M-33.1%

Forward guidance

United sees strong demand trends in the first quarter with domestic RASM expected to turn solidly positive year-over-year, as well as continued improvement in international RASM.

Tailwinds

  • Strong demand trends in the first quarter.
  • Domestic RASM expected to turn solidly positive year-over-year.
  • Continued improvement in international RASM.
  • Airline operated its largest domestic schedule in fourth quarter history, at 11% more flights than last year.
  • Airline flew the largest international schedule of any U.S. carrier by available seat miles – 35% larger than the next largest U.S. carrier.

Headwinds

  • Execution risks associated with strategic operating plan.
  • Changes in fleet and network strategy or other factors outside our control resulting in less economic aircraft orders.
  • Reliance on a limited number of suppliers to source a majority of our aircraft, engines and certain parts.
  • Unfavorable economic and political conditions in the United States and globally.
  • High and/or volatile fuel prices or significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

33 / 69 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-5.4%+3.0%
Q4 2025-1.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q3 2025-5.8%-3.8%-8.7%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.7%+7.5%
Q1 2025-0.0%-2.5%+16.3%
Q4 2024+0.5%-2.2%-4.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+16.7%+43.5%
Q2 2024-1.4%+2.4%-10.6%
Q1 2024+18.8%+25.2%+33.5%
Q4 2023+4.3%+9.6%+13.5%
Q3 2023-8.3%-11.2%-0.6%
Q2 2023+3.2%+2.3%-10.4%
Q1 2023+9.2%+4.9%+13.6%
Q4 2022-5.4%-4.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022+8.3%+12.0%+19.8%
Q2 2022-9.7%-12.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022+10.7%+11.6%-5.2%
Q4 2021-6.0%-9.3%+4.0%
Q3 2021-2.6%-0.9%+0.6%
Q2 2021+10.7%+9.4%+1.1%
Q1 2021-10.0%-4.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020-2.9%+0.7%+10.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%+1.7%+5.3%
Q1 2020-14.7%-22.7%-10.2%
Q4 2019-7.1%-8.7%-10.9%
Q3 2019+3.1%+3.6%+6.4%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.7%-10.6%
Q1 2019+5.6%+4.4%-2.3%
Q4 2018+8.1%-3.2%+8.6%
Q3 2018+8.8%+7.5%+13.1%
Q2 2018+9.3%+12.0%+13.3%
Q1 2018+4.9%+6.6%+3.2%
Q4 2017-10.2%+14.4%-7.5%
Q3 2017-11.5%-12.5%-13.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-10.3%-18.9%
Q1 2017-1.9%+0.7%+10.3%
Q4 2016-0.4%+4.3%+2.4%
Q3 2016+0.9%+4.5%+23.1%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.3%-0.2%
Q1 2016-9.1%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+9.4%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-14.4%
Q4 2013-6.2%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012-6.6%
Q1 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q4 2008-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q4 2010-4.6%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011-3.8%
Q2 2010-15.4%
Q3 2009+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2009+2.8%
Q4 2009+2.8%

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