NASDAQ$UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rebounding demand drove a clear path to profitability and the company achieved its highest customer satisfaction in history.

United Airlines announced first-quarter 2021 financial results, demonstrating a focus on future growth through cost reduction, customer program investments, and capitalizing on pent-up travel demand. The company is optimistic about returning to positive adjusted EBITDA margins and net income, driven by strong demand and strategic initiatives.

  • Reported first-quarter 2021 net loss of $1.4 billion, adjusted net loss of $2.4 billion.
  • Reported first-quarter total operating revenue of $3.2 billion, down 66% versus first-quarter 2019.
  • Reported first-quarter operating expenses down 49% versus first-quarter 2019, down 34% excluding special charges.
  • Reported first-quarter 2021 ending available liquidity of $21 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.22B

Previous: $7.98B-59.6%
EPS (adj)

-$7.50

Previous: -$2.57-191.8%
PRASM

7.63

Previous: 11.59-34.2%
Load Factor

56.8%

Previous: 70.9%-19.9%
Passenger Yield

13.43

Previous: 16.34-17.8%
Passengers

14.7M

Previous: 30.4K+48234.9%
ASMs

30.4B

Previous: 60.9B-50.2%
RPMs

17.2B

Previous: 43.2B-60.1%
Stage Length

1.3K

Previous: 1.4K-8.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.36B

Previous: -$1.7B+20.4%
Net Income

-$1.36B

Previous: -$1.7B+20.4%
Operating Income

-$1.38B

Previous: -$972M-42.1%
Gross Profit

-$1.43B

Previous: -$3.1B+54.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.7B

Previous: $3.44B+268.0%
Total Assets

$61.7B

Previous: $53.1B+16.2%

Revenue & EPS history

United Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.22B

Q1 2021-59.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Airlines · $3.22B total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Passenger
    $2.32B-67.2%
  • Cargo
    $497M+88.3%
  • Other Operating
    $408M-37.2%

Forward guidance

Based on current trends, the company expects second quarter 2021 Total Revenue Per Available Seat Mile (TRASM) to be down approximately 20% versus the second quarter 2019. Expects second quarter 2021 capacity to be down around 45% versus the second quarter 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects second quarter 2021 Total Revenue Per Available Seat Mile (TRASM) to be down approximately 20% versus the second quarter 2019.
  • Expects second quarter 2021 capacity to be down around 45% versus the second quarter 2019.
  • Expects second quarter operating expenses excluding special charges to be down approximately 32% versus the second quarter 2019.
  • Second quarter 2021 fuel price per gallon estimated to be approximately $1.83.

Headwinds

  • Expects second quarter 2021 adjusted EBITDA margin of around (20%).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

33 / 69 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-5.4%+3.0%
Q4 2025-1.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q3 2025-5.8%-3.8%-8.7%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.7%+7.5%
Q1 2025-0.0%-2.5%+16.3%
Q4 2024+0.5%-2.2%-4.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+16.7%+43.5%
Q2 2024-1.4%+2.4%-10.6%
Q1 2024+18.8%+25.2%+33.5%
Q4 2023+4.3%+9.6%+13.5%
Q3 2023-8.3%-11.2%-0.6%
Q2 2023+3.2%+2.3%-10.4%
Q1 2023+9.2%+4.9%+13.6%
Q4 2022-5.4%-4.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022+8.3%+12.0%+19.8%
Q2 2022-9.7%-12.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022+10.7%+11.6%-5.2%
Q4 2021-6.0%-9.3%+4.0%
Q3 2021-2.6%-0.9%+0.6%
Q2 2021+10.7%+9.4%+1.1%
Q1 2021-10.0%-4.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020-2.9%+0.7%+10.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%+1.7%+5.3%
Q1 2020-14.7%-22.7%-10.2%
Q4 2019-7.1%-8.7%-10.9%
Q3 2019+3.1%+3.6%+6.4%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.7%-10.6%
Q1 2019+5.6%+4.4%-2.3%
Q4 2018+8.1%-3.2%+8.6%
Q3 2018+8.8%+7.5%+13.1%
Q2 2018+9.3%+12.0%+13.3%
Q1 2018+4.9%+6.6%+3.2%
Q4 2017-10.2%+14.4%-7.5%
Q3 2017-11.5%-12.5%-13.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-10.3%-18.9%
Q1 2017-1.9%+0.7%+10.3%
Q4 2016-0.4%+4.3%+2.4%
Q3 2016+0.9%+4.5%+23.1%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.3%-0.2%
Q1 2016-9.1%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+9.4%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-14.4%
Q4 2013-6.2%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012-6.6%
Q1 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q4 2008-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q4 2010-4.6%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011-3.8%
Q2 2010-15.4%
Q3 2009+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2009+2.8%
Q4 2009+2.8%

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