NASDAQ$UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first-quarter financial results and continues to see strong demand for air travel.

United Airlines reported a $256 million pre-tax loss for the first quarter of 2023, which was consistent with expectations. The company's total operating revenue increased by 51.1% compared to the first quarter of 2022, and total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) increased by 22.5%.

  • Generated record high quarterly operating cash flow of over $3 billion.
  • Achieved the lowest mainline flight and seat cancellation rates of any U.S. airline despite having the most flights impacted by weather.
  • Q2 adjusted diluted EPS target of $3.50 to $4.00; reiterating full-year adjusted diluted EPS target of $10 to $12.
  • Seeing strong international demand in Q2; international expansion twice the rate of domestic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11.4B

Previous: $7.57B+51.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.63

Previous: -$4.24+85.1%
PRASM

15.63

No prior period
CASM

17.46

Previous: 16.79+4.0%
Load Factor

79.9%

Previous: 72.6%+10.1%
Passenger Yield

19.56

Previous: 16.43+19.1%
ASMs

65.7B

Previous: 53.3B+23.4%
RPMs

52.5B

Previous: 38.6B+35.9%
Stage Length

1.4K

Previous: 1.4K+4.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$194M

Previous: -$1.38B+85.9%
Net Income

-$194M

Previous: -$1.38B+85.9%
Operating Income

-$43M

Previous: -$1.38B+96.9%
Gross Profit

-$3.95B

Previous: -$2.9B-36.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.63B

Previous: $18.5B-58.7%
Total Assets

$70.4B

Previous: $69B+2.0%

Revenue & EPS history

United Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$11.4B

Q1 2023+51.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Airlines · $11.4B total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Passenger
    $10.3B+61.8%
  • Other Operating
    $757M+28.1%
  • Cargo
    $398M-36.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects all of these factors will keep us on track to achieve our full-year adjusted diluted EPS target.

Tailwinds

  • Q2 adjusted diluted EPS target of $3.50 to $4.00
  • Reiterating full-year adjusted diluted EPS target of $10 to $12
  • Cost trajectory on track for full-year flat CASM-ex target
  • Seeing strong international demand in Q2
  • International expansion twice the rate of domestic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

33 / 69 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-5.4%+3.0%
Q4 2025-1.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q3 2025-5.8%-3.8%-8.7%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.7%+7.5%
Q1 2025-0.0%-2.5%+16.3%
Q4 2024+0.5%-2.2%-4.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+16.7%+43.5%
Q2 2024-1.4%+2.4%-10.6%
Q1 2024+18.8%+25.2%+33.5%
Q4 2023+4.3%+9.6%+13.5%
Q3 2023-8.3%-11.2%-0.6%
Q2 2023+3.2%+2.3%-10.4%
Q1 2023+9.2%+4.9%+13.6%
Q4 2022-5.4%-4.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022+8.3%+12.0%+19.8%
Q2 2022-9.7%-12.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022+10.7%+11.6%-5.2%
Q4 2021-6.0%-9.3%+4.0%
Q3 2021-2.6%-0.9%+0.6%
Q2 2021+10.7%+9.4%+1.1%
Q1 2021-10.0%-4.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020-2.9%+0.7%+10.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%+1.7%+5.3%
Q1 2020-14.7%-22.7%-10.2%
Q4 2019-7.1%-8.7%-10.9%
Q3 2019+3.1%+3.6%+6.4%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.7%-10.6%
Q1 2019+5.6%+4.4%-2.3%
Q4 2018+8.1%-3.2%+8.6%
Q3 2018+8.8%+7.5%+13.1%
Q2 2018+9.3%+12.0%+13.3%
Q1 2018+4.9%+6.6%+3.2%
Q4 2017-10.2%+14.4%-7.5%
Q3 2017-11.5%-12.5%-13.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-10.3%-18.9%
Q1 2017-1.9%+0.7%+10.3%
Q4 2016-0.4%+4.3%+2.4%
Q3 2016+0.9%+4.5%+23.1%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.3%-0.2%
Q1 2016-9.1%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+9.4%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-14.4%
Q4 2013-6.2%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012-6.6%
Q1 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q4 2008-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q4 2010-4.6%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011-3.8%
Q2 2010-15.4%
Q3 2009+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2009+2.8%
Q4 2009+2.8%

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