NASDAQ$UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

United Airlines reported a net loss of $0.4 billion for Q2 2021, but expects profitability in Q3 and beyond, driven by faster than expected revenue recovery and well-managed costs.

United Airlines announced second-quarter 2021 financial results, reporting a net loss of $0.4 billion. However, the company expects positive adjusted pre-tax income in the third and fourth quarters of 2021 as travel demand rebounds. The company's second quarter performance largely exceeded original expectations as international long haul and business travel accelerated even faster than anticipated, together with continued yield improvement.

  • Reported second quarter 2021 capacity down 46% compared to second quarter 2019.
  • Reported second quarter 2021 net loss of $0.4 billion, adjusted net loss of $1.3 billion.
  • Reported second quarter 2021 total operating revenue of $5.5 billion, down 52% compared to second quarter 2019.
  • Reported second quarter 2021 ending available liquidity of approximately $23 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.47B

Previous: $1.48B+270.9%
EPS (adj)

-$3.91

Previous: -$9.31+58.0%
Load Factor

72.0%

Previous: 33.1%+117.5%
Passenger Yield

15.31

Previous: 22.93-33.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$434M

Previous: -$1.63B+73.3%
Net Income

-$434M

Previous: -$1.63B+73.3%
Operating Income

-$270M

Previous: -$1.64B+83.5%
Gross Profit

-$1.85B

Previous: -$716M-158.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$20.8B

Previous: $6.51B+220.3%
Total Assets

$71B

Previous: $54.9B+29.4%

Revenue & EPS history

United Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.47B

Q2 2021+270.9%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Airlines · $5.47B total across 3 segments · Q2 2021

  • Passenger
    $4.37B+541.1%
  • Cargo
    $606M+50.7%
  • Other Operating
    $499M+27.3%

Forward guidance

United Airlines expects positive adjusted pre-tax income in the third and fourth quarters of 2021. They anticipates TRASM growth to be positive compared to the third quarter 2019. The company expects 2022 CASM-ex to be lower than 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Expects third quarter 2021 capacity to be down around 26% compared to third quarter 2019, up 39% quarter over quarter.
  • Based on current trends, the company expects third quarter 2021 TRASM growth to be positive compared to the third quarter 2019, the first quarter of positive TRASM growth since the second quarter of 2020.
  • Third quarter 2021 estimated fuel price of approximately $2.17 per gallon.
  • Expects third quarter 2021 adjusted pre-tax income to be positive, the first quarter of positive adjusted pre-tax income since fourth quarter 2019. Additionally, expects fourth quarter 2021 adjusted pre-tax income to be positive.
  • Expects 2022 cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel, profit sharing, third-party business expenses and special charges (CASM-ex) to be lower than 2019.

Headwinds

  • Expects third quarter 2021 cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel, profit sharing, third-party business expenses and special charges (CASM-ex) to be up approximately 17% compared to third quarter 2019 (includes a 6-point headwind largely driven by lower stage length and lower gauge of our network, including the temporary grounding of 52 Boeing Pratt & Whitney powered 777 widebody aircraft).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

33 / 69 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-5.4%+3.0%
Q4 2025-1.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q3 2025-5.8%-3.8%-8.7%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.7%+7.5%
Q1 2025-0.0%-2.5%+16.3%
Q4 2024+0.5%-2.2%-4.6%
Q3 2024+13.4%+16.7%+43.5%
Q2 2024-1.4%+2.4%-10.6%
Q1 2024+18.8%+25.2%+33.5%
Q4 2023+4.3%+9.6%+13.5%
Q3 2023-8.3%-11.2%-0.6%
Q2 2023+3.2%+2.3%-10.4%
Q1 2023+9.2%+4.9%+13.6%
Q4 2022-5.4%-4.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022+8.3%+12.0%+19.8%
Q2 2022-9.7%-12.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022+10.7%+11.6%-5.2%
Q4 2021-6.0%-9.3%+4.0%
Q3 2021-2.6%-0.9%+0.6%
Q2 2021+10.7%+9.4%+1.1%
Q1 2021-10.0%-4.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020-2.9%+0.7%+10.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%+1.7%+5.3%
Q1 2020-14.7%-22.7%-10.2%
Q4 2019-7.1%-8.7%-10.9%
Q3 2019+3.1%+3.6%+6.4%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.7%-10.6%
Q1 2019+5.6%+4.4%-2.3%
Q4 2018+8.1%-3.2%+8.6%
Q3 2018+8.8%+7.5%+13.1%
Q2 2018+9.3%+12.0%+13.3%
Q1 2018+4.9%+6.6%+3.2%
Q4 2017-10.2%+14.4%-7.5%
Q3 2017-11.5%-12.5%-13.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-10.3%-18.9%
Q1 2017-1.9%+0.7%+10.3%
Q4 2016-0.4%+4.3%+2.4%
Q3 2016+0.9%+4.5%+23.1%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.3%-0.2%
Q1 2016-9.1%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+9.4%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-14.4%
Q4 2013-6.2%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012-6.6%
Q1 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q4 2008-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q4 2010-4.6%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011-3.8%
Q2 2010-15.4%
Q3 2009+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2009+2.8%
Q4 2009+2.8%

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