NASDAQ$TSLA
Tesla Motors, Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings
Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Tesla demonstrated strong organic demand for Model 3, returned to GAAP profitability in 2H19, and generated $1.1B of free cash flow for the year.
Tesla's Q4 2019 saw a $930M increase in cash and cash equivalents, reaching $6.3B, and a $1.0B free cash flow. The company achieved a GAAP operating income of $359M with a 4.9% operating margin and a GAAP net income of $105M. Model Y production ramp started ahead of schedule, and vehicle deliveries hit a record of 112,095.
- $930M increase in cash and cash equivalents to $6.3B in Q4.
- $1.0B operating cash flow less capex in Q4.
- Model Y production ramp started in January 2020, ahead of schedule.
- Record vehicle deliveries of 112,095 in Q4.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Tesla · Revenue · Quarterly
$7.38B
Revenue by segment
Tesla · $7.52B total across 5 segments · Q4 2019
- Automotive Sales$6.14B—81.7%
- Services & Other$580M—7.7%
- Energy & Storage$436M—5.8%
- Automotive Leasing$225M—3.0%
- Regulatory Credits$133M—1.8%
Forward guidance
Tesla anticipates that vehicle deliveries should comfortably exceed 500,000 units for the full year 2020. Positive quarterly free cash flow and GAAP net income are expected going forward, with possible temporary exceptions during new product launches.
Tailwinds
- Vehicle deliveries should comfortably exceed 500,000 units in 2020.
- Model 3 production in Shanghai is continuing to ramp.
- Model Y production in Fremont has begun, ahead of schedule.
- Both solar and storage deployments should grow at least 50% in 2020.
- Positive quarterly free cash flow is expected going forward.
Headwinds
- Production will likely outpace deliveries this year.
- Temporary exceptions to positive free cash flow are possible around new product launches.
- Temporary exceptions to positive GAAP net income are possible around new product launches.
- Continuous volume growth, capacity expansion, and cash generation remain the main focus.
- No specific negative information provided in the outlook.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019
+0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.5%
Avg return
30 days after
56%
36 / 64 earnings
Positive
+25.1%
Q1 2013
Best reaction
-14.1%
Q2 2024
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -5.9% | -3.0% | +10.0% | |
| Q1 2026 | +0.5% | -3.0% | +10.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +3.6% | +4.9% | -10.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -8.2% | -3.4% | +2.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | +5.4% | +20.1% | +42.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.9% | +0.8% | -24.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +19.5% | +20.4% | +61.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | -14.1% | -12.6% | -16.2% | |
| Q1 2024 | +14.1% | +18.5% | +22.3% | |
| Q4 2023 | -12.7% | -8.7% | -8.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | -13.6% | -16.8% | -8.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | -10.4% | -8.3% | -26.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -11.6% | -11.8% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +11.4% | +15.8% | +36.8% | |
| Q3 2022 | -5.9% | -4.1% | -18.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.7% | +9.3% | +20.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | -1.9% | -2.9% | -35.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | -9.7% | +2.0% | -11.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.4% | +18.6% | +31.6% | |
| Q2 2021 | +0.2% | +6.8% | +10.5% | |
| Q1 2021 | -3.4% | -2.7% | -15.1% | |
| Q4 2020 | -5.4% | -4.9% | -23.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.9% | -0.4% | +16.0% | |
| Q2 2020 | -3.5% | -1.8% | +30.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | +1.7% | -1.0% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | +13.0% | +37.6% | +17.8% | |
| Q3 2019 | +17.3% | +28.2% | +30.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | -12.1% | -9.4% | -18.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -6.1% | -8.5% | -27.8% | |
| Q4 2018 | +3.2% | +5.2% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.0% | +13.8% | +10.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | +17.2% | +14.7% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.2% | +1.0% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2017 | -5.6% | -5.5% | -2.0% | |
| Q3 2017 | -9.7% | -8.7% | -7.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | +8.6% | +11.1% | +11.2% | |
| Q1 2017 | -7.3% | -3.7% | +6.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | -7.7% | -11.2% | -5.1% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.8% | -2.3% | -2.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.5% | -0.5% | -12.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -9.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +8.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -7.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -6.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -13.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -13.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +7.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +25.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -3.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +9.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +6.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | — | — | — |
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