NASDAQ$TITN

Titan Machinery Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a flat revenue compared to the prior year, but increased GAAP EPS and Adjusted EPS.

Titan Machinery Inc. reported financial results for the fiscal third quarter ended October 31, 2020. Revenue was flat compared to the prior year, but the company saw increases in GAAP EPS and Adjusted EPS. The company also increased its fiscal year 2021 modeling assumptions.

  • Revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was $360.9 million.
  • GAAP EPS for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was $0.44 and Adjusted EPS was $0.58.
  • The company is raising its earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2021.
  • Agriculture segment revenue increased due to strength in parts and service business.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$361M

Previous: $361M-0.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.44+31.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.8M

Previous: -$7.64M+11.0%
Free Cash Flow

$3.11M

Previous: $577K+439.5%
Net Income

$9.91M

Previous: $8.21M+20.7%
Operating Income

$15.9M

Previous: $13.5M+17.3%
Gross Profit

$72.6M

Previous: $71.8M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$41.8M

Previous: $52.4M-20.2%
Total Assets

$901M

Previous: $1.03B-12.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$691K

Previous: $773K-10.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Titan Machinery · Revenue · Quarterly

$361M

Q3 2021-0%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Titan Machinery · $522M total across 4 segments · Q1 2027

  • Agriculture
    $344M
  • Construction
    $67.5M
  • Europe
    $60.4M
  • Australia
    $50.3M

Forward guidance

The Company increased its revenue expectations for all three operating segments and raised its earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Agriculture segment revenue is expected to increase by 5-10%.
  • Construction segment revenue is expected to be down 0-5%.
  • International segment revenue is expected to be down 5-10%.
  • Diluted EPS is expected to be $0.83 - $0.93.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS is expected to be $1.05 - $1.15.

Headwinds

  • Modeling assumptions will continue to be impacted by the challenging global economy due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • There is a higher degree of uncertainty in these assumptions compared to a normal environment.
  • COVID-19 continues to challenge the team and the customer's end markets.
  • Below average yields in certain areas of the International footprint.
  • Overall challenging economic and business conditions due to COVID-19 in the International segment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-23.8%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-13.6%-15.1%
Q4 2026-9.1%+4.4%+30.8%
Q3 2026+18.4%+12.6%-5.3%
Q2 2026-6.6%-1.8%-18.8%
Q1 2026+0.0%-0.7%+1.2%
Q4 2025+12.9%+22.1%+10.9%
Q3 2025+1.8%+0.2%-8.4%
Q2 2025+6.9%-1.6%+1.1%
Q1 2025-19.4%-23.5%-30.2%
Q4 2024-12.4%-12.9%-13.5%
Q3 2024-3.3%-2.1%+13.3%
Q2 2024+1.8%-1.0%-8.6%
Q1 2024-21.4%-26.4%-16.7%
Q4 2023-23.8%-27.5%-25.6%
Q3 2023+21.7%+20.4%+13.9%
Q2 2023+3.3%+3.2%-14.3%
Q1 2023+10.2%+6.1%-4.5%
Q4 2022-17.5%-11.2%-22.4%
Q3 2022-0.9%-4.0%-8.7%
Q2 2022-1.8%-4.0%-14.0%
Q1 2022+20.0%+35.3%+24.4%
Q4 2021-6.6%-13.0%-6.7%
Q3 2021-2.4%-0.9%-0.2%
Q2 2021+9.0%+14.2%+2.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-3.2%-6.2%
Q4 2020+16.8%+12.0%+14.7%
Q3 2020-21.4%-25.3%-20.1%
Q2 2020-11.0%-14.9%-14.1%
Q1 2020+10.9%+12.5%+36.5%
Q4 2019-20.7%-19.9%-13.0%
Q3 2019+23.6%+18.2%-7.6%
Q2 2019+14.4%+12.7%-1.9%
Q1 2019-18.1%-13.2%-26.0%
Q4 2018+21.6%+21.9%-0.8%
Q3 2018+29.1%+30.6%+26.7%
Q2 2018-22.1%-23.1%-0.1%
Q1 2018+11.0%+9.8%+16.0%
Q4 2017-1.1%-0.1%+2.2%
Q3 2017+7.9%+14.3%+12.4%
Q2 2017-1.3%-1.1%-4.6%
Q1 2017-6.8%-5.7%-0.7%
Q4 2016+5.7%
Q3 2016-18.2%
Q2 2016+28.5%
Q1 2016+17.6%
Q4 2015+1.4%
Q3 2015-2.7%
Q2 2015-1.1%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+25.9%
Q3 2014-6.0%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013-16.1%
Q3 2013-16.1%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012-22.5%
Q2 2013-22.5%
Q1 2012-18.9%
Q1 2013+0.7%
Q4 2010+28.4%
Q4 2012+10.1%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q2 2011-22.6%
Q4 2011-22.6%
Q1 2011+0.0%

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