NASDAQ$TARS

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported full-year 2022 financial results and recent business achievements.

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals reported full-year 2022 financial results, including TP-03 out-license revenue for greater China territory of $25.8 million and a net loss of $62.1 million. The company highlighted the acceptance of the NDA for TP-03 for Demodex blepharitis by the FDA with a PDUFA target action date of August 25, 2023, and the advancement of its pipeline with Phase 2 trials in rosacea and planned Phase 2a data readouts.

  • NDA for TP-03 for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis accepted by the FDA with a PDUFA target action date of August 25, 2023.
  • Launched an Awareness, Trial and Usage (ATU) market research survey of optometrists and ophthalmologists, with over 90% indicating they would prescribe an FDA approved therapeutic for Demodex blepharitis.
  • Engaged and educated more than two-thirds of target Eye Care Practitioners (ECPs) on the disease, identification and diagnosis of Demodex blepharitis.
  • Completed enrollment of Ersa, a Phase 2a trial evaluating TP-03 for MGD with topline data expected in 2H 2023 and initiated Galatea Phase 2a trial evaluating TP-04 for Rosacea.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10M

Previous: $338K+2858.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.49

Previous: -$0.72+31.9%
Capital Expenditures

$127K

Previous: $274K-53.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$11M

Previous: -$12.4M+11.2%
Net Income

-$13.1M

Previous: -$13.8M+5.4%
Operating Income

-$15.1M

Previous: -$14.4M-4.2%
Gross Profit

$9.6M

Previous: -$7.68M+225.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$71.7M

Previous: $171M-58.2%
Total Assets

$228M

Previous: $179M+27.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.67M

Previous: $2.18M+68.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Tarsus · Revenue · Quarterly

$10M

Q4 2022+2,858.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals anticipates several clinical and regulatory milestones in 2023, including the potential approval and launch of TP-03 for Demodex blepharitis, topline Phase 2a data for TP-05 in Lyme disease prevention, initiation of Phase 2b for TP-05, and topline Phase 2a data for TP-03 in Meibomian Gland Disease. The company's cash runway is anticipated into at least the second half of 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Potential approval and launch of TP-03 for Demodex blepharitis.
  • Topline Phase 2a data for TP-05 in Lyme disease prevention.
  • Initiation of Phase 2b for TP-05 in Lyme disease prevention.
  • Topline Phase 2a data for TP-03 in Meibomian Gland Disease.
  • Cash runway anticipated into at least the second half of 2026.

Headwinds

  • Significant losses and negative cash flows from operations since inception are expected to continue.
  • Dependence on the success of TP-03 for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis.
  • Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical trials and business operations.
  • Risk that Tarsus may not be successful in educating healthcare professionals about the need for treatments specifically for Demodex blepharitis, MGD, rosacea, and Lyme disease prevention.
  • The sizes of the market opportunity for Tarsus’ product candidates have not been established with precision and may be smaller than estimated.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+3.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+17.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

15 / 24 earnings

Positive

+18.3%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-10.5%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-8.4%-9.0%
Q4 2025+9.6%+8.5%-3.4%
Q3 2025-4.7%+1.8%+14.4%
Q1 2025-6.1%-5.9%-14.6%
Q4 2024-9.3%-2.3%+11.2%
Q3 2024-1.9%-6.2%+10.4%
Q2 2024+18.3%+16.5%+34.8%
Q1 2024-10.5%+0.9%-15.3%
Q4 2023+14.2%+11.4%+9.6%
Q3 2023+5.6%+8.3%+4.5%
Q2 2023-2.5%-1.5%-7.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+5.8%+25.9%
Q4 2022+0.4%-10.6%-15.8%
Q3 2022-0.1%-0.5%-14.2%
Q2 2022+5.4%+0.6%-8.3%
Q1 2022+7.2%+16.8%+25.4%
Q4 2021-4.9%-4.7%-1.1%
Q3 2021+0.4%-2.9%-13.8%
Q2 2021+6.2%+3.7%+13.3%
Q1 2021+2.9%+5.6%+38.3%
Q4 2020+16.4%+15.8%+8.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%+16.1%+111.4%
Q3 2020+7.5%+16.1%+111.4%
Q2 2020+7.5%+16.1%+111.4%
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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