NASDAQ$STKS

One Group Hospitality Inc/Th · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The ONE Group demonstrated growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, opened four restaurants, and introduced 2024 targets.

The ONE Group reported a 1.8% increase in total GAAP revenues to $89.9 million and an 11.3% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $14.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2023. The company opened four new restaurants during the quarter and provided financial targets for 2024.

  • Total GAAP revenues increased 1.8% to $89.9 million.
  • Comparable sales decreased 4.3% compared to 2022 but increased 40.1% compared to 2019.
  • GAAP net income attributable to The ONE Group was $4.6 million, or $0.15 per share ($0.17 adjusted net income per share).
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 11.3% to $14.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$89.9M

Previous: $88.3M+1.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.19-10.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$12.2M

Previous: $13M-5.9%
Restaurant Operating Profit

$16.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$15.1M

Previous: $11.3M-233.7%
Net Income

$4.6M

Previous: $5.1M-9.8%
Operating Income

$4.93M

Previous: $5.86M-15.9%
Gross Profit

$16.5M

Previous: $20.3M-18.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.23M

Previous: $1.19M+3.4%

Revenue & EPS history

One Group Hospitality · Revenue · Quarterly

$89.9M

Q4 2023+1.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

One Group Hospitality · $76.9M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Owned Restaurant Net Revenue
    $73.7M
  • Management, License, Franchise and Incentive Fee Revenue
    $3.18M

Forward guidance

The Company provided the following targets for 2024: Total GAAP revenues between $360M to $380M, Managed, license and incentive fee revenues between $15M to $16M, Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue approximately 83.0%, Total G&A excluding stock-based compensation approximately $30M, Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA approximately $45M, Restaurant pre-opening expenses between $4M to $5M, Operating income between $13M to $15M, Effective income tax rate between 5% to 10%, Total capital expenditures, net of allowances received by landlords between $30M to $35M, Number of new system-wide venues between Six to Eight.

Tailwinds

  • Total GAAP revenues between $360M to $380M
  • Managed, license and incentive fee revenues between $15M to $16M
  • Total G&A excluding stock-based compensation approximately $30M
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA approximately $45M
  • Operating income between $13M to $15M

Headwinds

  • Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue approximately 83.0%
  • Restaurant pre-opening expenses between $4M to $5M
  • Effective income tax rate between 5% to 10%
  • Total capital expenditures, net of allowances received by landlords between $30M to $35M
  • Number of new system-wide venues between Six to Eight

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

25 / 47 earnings

Positive

+32.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-18.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+10.3%-2.2%
Q4 2025+6.4%+6.4%-2.3%
Q3 2025-3.1%-8.2%-0.5%
Q1 2025+0.7%-14.8%-12.4%
Q4 2024+0.8%+8.5%+7.8%
Q3 2024-13.3%-16.3%-9.0%
Q2 2024-15.0%-14.8%-16.9%
Q1 2024-4.5%+9.7%+9.1%
Q4 2023+7.6%+17.1%+47.7%
Q3 2023-0.4%-1.8%+9.7%
Q2 2023-5.2%-5.0%-1.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%-10.9%-4.3%
Q4 2022-3.5%-4.7%-2.6%
Q3 2022-18.7%-26.5%-7.8%
Q2 2022-9.3%-5.5%-19.9%
Q1 2022-0.6%-5.5%-0.1%
Q4 2021+6.2%+14.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+5.9%+7.0%-15.6%
Q2 2021+20.6%+7.1%+1.7%
Q1 2021+22.6%+14.3%+38.0%
Q4 2020-7.3%-5.2%+7.1%
Q3 2020+22.2%+30.9%+36.1%
Q2 2020+32.4%+16.6%+16.6%
Q1 2020-5.8%-12.3%+43.5%
Q4 2019+28.0%-2.3%+6.1%
Q3 2019+4.1%+1.6%+1.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-11.3%-8.4%
Q1 2019-3.9%-7.9%-15.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-1.7%-21.0%
Q2 2018-2.1%+3.5%+14.0%
Q1 2018+7.6%+10.3%+9.4%
Q4 2017+6.2%+5.0%-9.7%
Q3 2017+4.0%+24.7%+40.0%
Q2 2017+1.1%-0.6%-14.2%
Q1 2017+2.5%+1.1%-4.7%
Q4 2016+9.3%+11.6%+27.7%
Q3 2016+1.7%-1.3%+11.2%
Q2 2016-10.9%-12.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+9.1%
Q3 2015+4.2%
Q2 2015-6.3%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014+0.2%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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