NASDAQ$STKS

One Group Hospitality Inc/Th · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The ONE Group's financial performance for Q1 2023, marked by revenue increase and reaffirmed 2023 targets.

The ONE Group reported an 11.3% increase in total GAAP revenues, reaching $82.6 million, and reaffirmed its 2023 targets, including opening eight to twelve new venues.

  • Total GAAP revenues increased by 11.3% to $82.6 million.
  • Comparable sales increased by 1.6%.
  • GAAP net income attributable to The ONE Group was $2.6 million, or $0.08 per share ($0.10 adjusted net income per share).
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 1.0% to $10.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$82.6M

Previous: $74.2M+11.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.15-33.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$10.9M

Previous: $10.7M+1.8%
Restaurant Operating Profit

$12.9M

Previous: $13M-1.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$11.9M

Previous: -$4.45M-166.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.25M

Previous: -$780K-1085.4%
Net Income

$2.61M

Previous: $3.67M-29.0%
Operating Income

$4.28M

Previous: $4.2M+1.8%
Gross Profit

$16.9M

Previous: $16.7M+1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.7M

Previous: $28.6M+70.0%
Total Assets

$289M

Previous: $237M+22.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.32M

Previous: $879K+50.2%

Revenue & EPS history

One Group Hospitality · Revenue · Quarterly

$82.6M

Q1 2023+11.3%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

One Group Hospitality · $82.6M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Owned Restaurant Net Revenue
    $78.6M
  • Management, License, Franchise and Incentive Fee Revenue
    $3.98M

Forward guidance

The Company is reiterating the following targets for 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Total GAAP revenues $360M to $380M
  • Managed, license and incentive fee revenues $17.0M to $17.5M
  • Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue 82.5% to 82.0%
  • Total G&A excluding stock-based compensation $27M to $29M
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA $50M to $54M

Headwinds

  • Restaurant pre-opening expenses $5.5M to $6.5M
  • Operating income $25.5M to $28.5M
  • Effective income tax rate 5% to 10%
  • Total capital expenditures, net of allowances received by landlords 2% of Company-owned revenue and $3.0M to $3.5M per new Company-owned venue
  • Number of new system-wide venues Eight to Twelve

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

25 / 47 earnings

Positive

+32.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-18.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+10.3%-2.2%
Q4 2025+6.4%+6.4%-2.3%
Q3 2025-3.1%-8.2%-0.5%
Q1 2025+0.7%-14.8%-12.4%
Q4 2024+0.8%+8.5%+7.8%
Q3 2024-13.3%-16.3%-9.0%
Q2 2024-15.0%-14.8%-16.9%
Q1 2024-4.5%+9.7%+9.1%
Q4 2023+7.6%+17.1%+47.7%
Q3 2023-0.4%-1.8%+9.7%
Q2 2023-5.2%-5.0%-1.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%-10.9%-4.3%
Q4 2022-3.5%-4.7%-2.6%
Q3 2022-18.7%-26.5%-7.8%
Q2 2022-9.3%-5.5%-19.9%
Q1 2022-0.6%-5.5%-0.1%
Q4 2021+6.2%+14.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+5.9%+7.0%-15.6%
Q2 2021+20.6%+7.1%+1.7%
Q1 2021+22.6%+14.3%+38.0%
Q4 2020-7.3%-5.2%+7.1%
Q3 2020+22.2%+30.9%+36.1%
Q2 2020+32.4%+16.6%+16.6%
Q1 2020-5.8%-12.3%+43.5%
Q4 2019+28.0%-2.3%+6.1%
Q3 2019+4.1%+1.6%+1.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-11.3%-8.4%
Q1 2019-3.9%-7.9%-15.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-1.7%-21.0%
Q2 2018-2.1%+3.5%+14.0%
Q1 2018+7.6%+10.3%+9.4%
Q4 2017+6.2%+5.0%-9.7%
Q3 2017+4.0%+24.7%+40.0%
Q2 2017+1.1%-0.6%-14.2%
Q1 2017+2.5%+1.1%-4.7%
Q4 2016+9.3%+11.6%+27.7%
Q3 2016+1.7%-1.3%+11.2%
Q2 2016-10.9%-12.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+9.1%
Q3 2015+4.2%
Q2 2015-6.3%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014+0.2%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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