NASDAQ$STKS

One Group Hospitality Inc/Th · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The ONE Group's financial performance in Q3 2023 was marked by increased total GAAP revenues but a net loss, with progress in long-term growth strategy and cost initiatives.

The ONE Group reported a 5.3% increase in total GAAP revenues to $76.9 million, but experienced a net loss of $3.1 million, or $0.10 per share. Consolidated comparable sales decreased by 3.0%. The company opened new Kona Grill and STK locations and is focused on cost initiatives and expansion.

  • Total GAAP revenues increased by 5.3% to $76.9 million.
  • Consolidated comparable sales decreased by 3.0%.
  • GAAP net loss attributable to The ONE Group was $3.1 million, or $0.10 per share.
  • Restaurant Operating Profit was $9.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$76.9M

Previous: $73M+5.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.08

Previous: $0.07-214.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$6.2M

No prior period
Restaurant operating profit

$9.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$38.4M

Previous: -$21.3M-80.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$41.5M

Previous: -$20.8M-99.3%
Net Income

-$3.1M

Previous: $482K-742.7%
Operating Income

-$1.96M

Previous: $491K-498.2%
Gross Profit

$12.3M

Previous: $12.6M-2.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$22.1M

Previous: $17.5M+26.7%
Total Assets

$295M

Previous: $236M+24.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.24M

Previous: $1M+24.3%

Revenue & EPS history

One Group Hospitality · Revenue · Quarterly

$76.9M

Q3 2023+5.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

One Group Hospitality · $76.9M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Owned restaurant net revenue
    $73.7M—
  • Management, license and incentive fee revenue
    $3.18M—

Forward guidance

The Company is updating the following targets for 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Total GAAP revenues between $335M to $345M
  • Managed, license and incentive fee revenues between $14.5M to $15.0M
  • Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue between 84.0% to 83.0%
  • Total G&A excluding stock-based compensation between $26M to $27M
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA between $40M to $45M

Headwinds

  • Restaurant pre-opening expenses at $8M
  • Operating income between $11.5M to $16.5M
  • Effective income tax rate between 5% to 10%
  • Total capital expenditures, net of allowances received by landlords at 2.5% of Company-owned revenue and approximately $4.0M per new Company-owned venue
  • Number of new system-wide venues at Eight

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

25 / 47 earnings

Positive

+32.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-18.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+1.6%+10.3%-2.2%
Q4 2025+6.4%+6.4%-2.3%
Q3 2025-3.1%-8.2%-0.5%
Q1 2025+0.7%-14.8%-12.4%
Q4 2024+0.8%+8.5%+7.8%
Q3 2024-13.3%-16.3%-9.0%
Q2 2024-15.0%-14.8%-16.9%
Q1 2024-4.5%+9.7%+9.1%
Q4 2023+7.6%+17.1%+47.7%
Q3 2023-0.4%-1.8%+9.7%
Q2 2023-5.2%-5.0%-1.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%-10.9%-4.3%
Q4 2022-3.5%-4.7%-2.6%
Q3 2022-18.7%-26.5%-7.8%
Q2 2022-9.3%-5.5%-19.9%
Q1 2022-0.6%-5.5%-0.1%
Q4 2021+6.2%+14.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+5.9%+7.0%-15.6%
Q2 2021+20.6%+7.1%+1.7%
Q1 2021+22.6%+14.3%+38.0%
Q4 2020-7.3%-5.2%+7.1%
Q3 2020+22.2%+30.9%+36.1%
Q2 2020+32.4%+16.6%+16.6%
Q1 2020-5.8%-12.3%+43.5%
Q4 2019+28.0%-2.3%+6.1%
Q3 2019+4.1%+1.6%+1.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-11.3%-8.4%
Q1 2019-3.9%-7.9%-15.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-1.7%-21.0%
Q2 2018-2.1%+3.5%+14.0%
Q1 2018+7.6%+10.3%+9.4%
Q4 2017+6.2%+5.0%-9.7%
Q3 2017+4.0%+24.7%+40.0%
Q2 2017+1.1%-0.6%-14.2%
Q1 2017+2.5%+1.1%-4.7%
Q4 2016+9.3%+11.6%+27.7%
Q3 2016+1.7%-1.3%+11.2%
Q2 2016-10.9%-12.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016+1.2%——
Q4 2015+9.1%——
Q3 2015+4.2%——
Q2 2015-6.3%——
Q1 2015+0.0%——
Q4 2014+0.2%——
Q3 2014+0.0%——
Q2 2014+0.0%——
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2010———

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