NASDAQ$SERA

Sera Prognostics Inc-A · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2022.

Sera Prognostics reported first quarter 2022 revenue of $38,000, compared to $13,000 for the same period in 2021. The net loss for the quarter was $12.2 million, compared to $6.4 million for the same quarter a year ago. As of March 31, 2022, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $64.1 million.

  • Simplified and streamlined the PreTRM® test ordering process, resulting in increased numbers of orders and ordering physicians.
  • Added Dr. Jane F. Barlow to the Board, bringing expertise in bringing novel products and services to the market.
  • Engaged in active dialogue with government officials and organizations to reduce healthcare disparities among underserved communities by utilizing our PreTRM® Test.
  • Continued pipeline progress including final validation of the first mid-pregnancy proteomic prognostic biomarker for preeclampsia by mid-year 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$38K

Previous: $13K+192.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.40

Previous: -$7.38+94.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$7K

Previous: $41K-117.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$12.2M

Previous: -$6.99M-74.7%
Net Income

-$12.2M

Previous: -$6.36M-92.0%
Operating Income

-$12.3M

Previous: -$6.03M-104.1%
Gross Profit

$18K

Previous: $8K+125.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$64.1M

Previous: $60M+6.8%
Total Assets

$135M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.22M

Previous: $239K+411.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Sera Prognostics · Revenue · Quarterly

$38K

Q1 2022+192.3%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Sera Prognostics is focused on improving maternal and neonatal health by providing innovative pregnancy biomarker information to doctors and patients.

Tailwinds

  • Increased numbers of orders and ordering physicians are continuing into the current quarter.
  • The preeclampsia test is expected to be validated around mid-year 2022.
  • Growing recognition of the benefit of PreTRM among and increased adoption with payors, care providers and patients.
  • Additional clinical utility and health economic data the Company expects to share later this month.
  • The PRIME study is on track for interim readout in 2023.

Headwinds

  • Net losses and potential need to raise more capital.
  • Revenues from the PreTRM test representing substantially all Company revenues to date.
  • The need for broad scientific and market acceptance of the PreTRM test.
  • Potential third-party payer coverage and reimbursement.
  • Changes in FDA regulation of laboratory-developed tests.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

8 / 22 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-8.0%+18.1%
Q4 2025-7.7%+6.3%+20.4%
Q3 2025+1.7%+8.5%+19.0%
Q1 2025-11.7%-2.1%-35.4%
Q4 2024-5.1%-2.2%-17.9%
Q3 2024-0.3%-2.7%-3.9%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.2%-2.2%
Q1 2024+3.3%-4.0%-13.6%
Q4 2023+3.4%+1.1%+7.7%
Q3 2023-3.2%-6.4%+130.9%
Q2 2023+0.8%-10.1%-39.9%
Q1 2023-0.8%-2.8%-13.0%
Q4 2022-10.0%-9.5%-22.3%
Q3 2022+14.3%+11.1%-4.0%
Q2 2022-4.1%-6.3%-27.3%
Q1 2022-7.6%-17.1%-32.7%
Q4 2021+3.6%+0.3%-39.3%
Q3 2021+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q3 2020+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q2 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q1 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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