NASDAQ$SERA

Sera Prognostics Inc-A · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sera Prognostics' financial results for Q2 2024 were announced, showing a decrease in revenue but also a reduction in operating expenses and net loss.

Sera Prognostics reported a decrease in revenue for the second quarter of 2024, but also saw a reduction in operating expenses and a narrower net loss compared to the same period in the previous year.

  • Second quarter revenue was $24,000, compared to $123,000 for the same period in 2023.
  • Total operating expenses decreased by 20% to $9.3 million from $11.5 million in the second quarter of 2023.
  • Net loss was $8.3 million, a 21% improvement compared to a net loss of $10.5 million for the same quarter a year ago.
  • Research and development expenses increased by 19% to $4.4 million due to new product development activities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24K

Previous: $123K-80.5%
EPS

-$0.25

Previous: -$0.34+26.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$22K

Previous: -$86K+74.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.33M

Previous: -$10.6M+21.7%
Net Income

-$8.3M

Previous: -$10.5M+21.2%
Operating Income

-$9.25M

Previous: -$11.5M+19.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.66M

Previous: $32.3M-85.6%
Total Assets

$84.9M

Previous: $96.7M-12.2%
R&D Expense

$4.06M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.02M

Previous: $1.44M+40.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Sera Prognostics · Revenue · Quarterly

$24K

Q2 2024-80.5%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company anticipates final PRIME database lock in mid-September and publication in time for key pregnancy and maternal health conferences in the spring. They are also executing cost-effective programs to educate patients and physicians on the PreTRM® Test and working to support the establishment of care guidelines.

Tailwinds

  • Final PRIME database lock anticipated mid-September.
  • PRIME publication in time for key pregnancy and maternal health conferences in the spring.
  • Executing cost-effective programs to educate patients and physicians on the PreTRM® Test.
  • Supporting the establishment of care guidelines.
  • Conditional approval received from New York State on ambient whole-blood collection, allowing Sera to complete nationwide rollout of new blood collection method.

Headwinds

  • Net losses and the potential need to raise more capital.
  • Revenues from the PreTRM Test representing substantially all Company revenues to date.
  • The need for broad scientific and market acceptance of the PreTRM Test.
  • Potential third-party payer coverage and reimbursement.
  • Changes in FDA regulation of laboratory-developed tests.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

8 / 22 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-8.0%+18.1%
Q4 2025-7.7%+6.3%+20.4%
Q3 2025+1.7%+8.5%+19.0%
Q1 2025-11.7%-2.1%-35.4%
Q4 2024-5.1%-2.2%-17.9%
Q3 2024-0.3%-2.7%-3.9%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.2%-2.2%
Q1 2024+3.3%-4.0%-13.6%
Q4 2023+3.4%+1.1%+7.7%
Q3 2023-3.2%-6.4%+130.9%
Q2 2023+0.8%-10.1%-39.9%
Q1 2023-0.8%-2.8%-13.0%
Q4 2022-10.0%-9.5%-22.3%
Q3 2022+14.3%+11.1%-4.0%
Q2 2022-4.1%-6.3%-27.3%
Q1 2022-7.6%-17.1%-32.7%
Q4 2021+3.6%+0.3%-39.3%
Q3 2021+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q3 2020+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q2 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q1 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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