NASDAQ$SERA

Sera Prognostics Inc-A · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sera Prognostics' financial performance was impacted by revenue adjustments, but the company progressed in setting the stage for a potential revenue inflection by submitting data for publication and exploring growth opportunities.

Sera Prognostics reported a decrease in revenue due to adjustments related to old accounts, resulting in net revenue of nil for Q1 2024. However, the company reduced operating expenses by 20% and narrowed its net loss by 24%. They are focusing on future revenue growth through data publication, new commercial opportunities, and international market exploration.

  • Submitted manuscript of PRIME study interim analysis results for peer-reviewed publication.
  • Shipped first ambient whole blood collection kits, expected to reduce cost of goods sold and increase lab processing capacity.
  • Collaborating on state implementation programs to promote health equity and improve pregnancy care.
  • Exploring attractive international markets with a significant number of premature births.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$0.00

Previous: $100K-100.0%
EPS

-$0.25

Previous: -$0.34+26.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$15K

Previous: -$39K+61.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.11M

Previous: -$10.6M+23.5%
Net Income

-$8.1M

Previous: -$10.6M+23.4%
Operating Income

-$9.1M

Previous: -$11.3M+19.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.24M

Previous: $27.2M-84.4%
Total Assets

$89.9M

Previous: $106M-14.9%
R&D Expense

$3.47M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.69M

Previous: $1.3M+29.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Sera Prognostics · Revenue · Quarterly

$0

Q1 2024-100%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Sera Prognostics is focused on future revenue growth, margin improvement, and efficient test processing.

Tailwinds

  • New ambient whole blood collection kits are expected to reduce cost of goods sold.
  • New ambient whole blood collection method allows access to more patients.
  • Exploring growth opportunities where PreTRM can make a sizeable difference.
  • Data submission for publication is expected to enhance the evidence portfolio.
  • Targeted state implementation programs to promote health equity.

Headwinds

  • Revenue for the quarter was impacted by revenue adjustments related to old accounts.
  • Need for broad scientific and market acceptance of the PreTRM Test.
  • Revenues from the PreTRM Test representing substantially all Company revenues to date.
  • Potential third-party payer coverage and reimbursement.
  • Potential competition.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

8 / 22 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-8.0%+18.1%
Q4 2025-7.7%+6.3%+20.4%
Q3 2025+1.7%+8.5%+19.0%
Q1 2025-11.7%-2.1%-35.4%
Q4 2024-5.1%-2.2%-17.9%
Q3 2024-0.3%-2.7%-3.9%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.2%-2.2%
Q1 2024+3.3%-4.0%-13.6%
Q4 2023+3.4%+1.1%+7.7%
Q3 2023-3.2%-6.4%+130.9%
Q2 2023+0.8%-10.1%-39.9%
Q1 2023-0.8%-2.8%-13.0%
Q4 2022-10.0%-9.5%-22.3%
Q3 2022+14.3%+11.1%-4.0%
Q2 2022-4.1%-6.3%-27.3%
Q1 2022-7.6%-17.1%-32.7%
Q4 2021+3.6%+0.3%-39.3%
Q3 2021+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q3 2020+0.3%-0.8%-8.2%
Q2 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q1 2021-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q4 2020-4.8%-9.9%+0.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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