NASDAQ$SAGE

Sage Therapeutics Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sage reported results for Q4 2022, highlighting pipeline advancements and regulatory progress for zuranolone.

Sage Therapeutics reported fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results, with a focus on advancing the regulatory path for zuranolone in MDD and PPD. The FDA accepted the NDA filing for zuranolone and granted Priority Review. The company's pipeline is progressing with nine studies across neuropsychiatry and neurology in 2023. Year-end cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $1.3 billion, expected to support operations into 2025.

  • FDA accepted the NDA filing for zuranolone and granted Priority Review in the treatment of MDD and PPD.
  • Robust pipeline advancing nine studies across neuropsychiatry and neurology in 2023.
  • Year-end 2022 cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $1.3 billion, expected to support operations into 2025.
  • Net revenue from sales of ZULRESSO was $2.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.87M

Previous: $1.64M+74.5%
EPS (adj)

-$2.47

Previous: -$2.12-16.5%
Capital Expenditures

$282K

Previous: $372K-24.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$127M

Previous: -$97.9M-30.0%
Net Income

-$147M

Previous: -$125M-18.0%
Operating Income

-$154M

Previous: -$125M-22.6%
Gross Profit

$2.72M

Previous: $1.56M+75.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.3B

Previous: $1.74B-25.4%
Total Assets

$1.36B

Previous: $1.83B-25.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.2M

Previous: $20.6M-26.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Sage · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.87M

Q4 2022+74.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sage · $1.64M total across 1 segment · Q4 2021

  • ZULRESSO Net Revenue
    $1.64M

Forward guidance

Sage anticipates that its existing cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, anticipated funding from ongoing collaborations, and potential revenue, will support its operations into 2025. The Company anticipates R&D and SG&A spending to increase as it prepares for the potential launch of zuranolone and advances planned and ongoing studies for SAGE-718 and SAGE-324.

Tailwinds

  • Existing cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities are expected to support operations into 2025.
  • Anticipated funding from ongoing collaborations will support operations.
  • Potential revenue will support operations.
  • Potential to achieve milestones totaling $225.0 million from Biogen related to first commercial sales of zuranolone in MDD and PPD in the U.S., if approved.
  • Advancing planned and ongoing studies for SAGE-718 and SAGE-324.

Headwinds

  • R&D spending is anticipated to increase.
  • SG&A spending is anticipated to increase.
  • Preparing for the potential launch of zuranolone will increase spending.
  • Future financing plans may be opportunistic even if available cash is sufficient.
  • Additional funding may not be available on acceptable terms when needed.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-5.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

19 / 44 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-47.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
Q1 2025-4.1%-5.7%-15.0%
Q4 2024-0.4%-0.8%+7.2%
Q3 2024-24.6%-29.1%-35.2%
Q2 2024-9.6%-17.2%-22.1%
Q1 2024-2.2%-0.6%-19.4%
Q4 2023+10.4%+1.3%-13.2%
Q3 2023-10.2%-17.1%+1.3%
Q2 2023-47.6%-39.7%-42.8%
Q1 2023-2.4%+0.9%+1.9%
Q4 2022+0.9%-5.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022-5.0%+5.0%+16.5%
Q2 2022+4.6%+21.6%+12.8%
Q1 2022+4.9%-12.2%+12.6%
Q4 2021+12.4%+12.3%-1.0%
Q3 2021+11.2%+6.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-4.0%-5.1%+9.0%
Q1 2021-10.3%
Q4 2020+4.0%
Q3 2020-0.6%
Q2 2020+1.3%
Q1 2020-4.1%
Q4 2019-26.2%
Q3 2019-0.2%
Q2 2019+7.4%
Q1 2019+0.3%
Q4 2018-8.2%
Q3 2018+3.0%
Q2 2018-0.7%
Q1 2018+1.2%
Q4 2017+0.2%
Q3 2017+11.7%
Q2 2017+7.7%
Q1 2017-2.7%
Q4 2016+0.6%
Q3 2016+0.5%
Q2 2016-13.3%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-4.8%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014-5.2%
Q2 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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