NASDAQ$SAGE

Sage Therapeutics Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Sage reported a decrease in net loss and an increase in collaboration revenue for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.

Sage Therapeutics reported a net loss of $95.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, an improvement from $32.7 million in the same period of 2023. Collaboration revenue from ZURZUVAE significantly increased to $11.4 million in Q4 2024, up from $0.8 million in Q4 2023, indicating strong initial growth for the new treatment. The company also saw a substantial increase in ZURZUVAE shipments, with nearly 2,500 prescriptions delivered in Q4 2024.

  • ZURZUVAE collaboration revenue reached $11.4 million in Q4 2024, a significant increase from $0.8 million in Q4 2023.
  • Net loss for Q4 2024 was $95.8 million, compared to $32.7 million in Q4 2023.
  • Nearly 2,500 ZURZUVAE prescriptions were shipped in Q4 2024, representing a 21% increase from Q3 2024.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities stood at $504 million as of December 31, 2024, with a cash runway expected to support operations to mid-2027.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.8M

Previous: $78M-83.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.56

Previous: -$0.55-183.6%
ZURZUVAE Shipments

2.5K

No prior period
FY ZURZUVAE Shipments

6.6K

No prior period
OBGYN Prescriptions

80.0%

No prior period
Repeat Prescriptions

60.0%

No prior period
First New Treatment

70.0%

No prior period
Aided Brand Awareness

90.0%

No prior period
Salesforce Growth Rate

33.0%

No prior period
Net Income

-$95.8M

Previous: -$32.7M-192.8%
Operating Income

-$102M

Previous: -$42.1M-142.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sage · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.8M

Q4 2024-83.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sage · $1.64M total across 1 segment · Q4 2021

  • ZULRESSO Net Revenue
    $1.64M

Forward guidance

Sage Therapeutics anticipates its existing cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, along with anticipated funding from collaborations and estimated revenues, will support operations until mid-2027. The company expects overall operating expenses to decrease in 2025 due to reductions in R&D and G&A, pipeline prioritization, and cost savings from the October 2024 reorganization.

Tailwinds

  • Existing cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, combined with anticipated funding and estimated revenues, are expected to support operations to mid-2027.
  • Overall operating expenses are anticipated to substantially decrease in 2025 compared to 2024.
  • Reductions in R&D and G&A expenses are expected in 2025.
  • Cost savings from the October 2024 reorganization are expected to be realized, with the first full quarter of savings in Q1 2025.
  • ZURZUVAE joint commercialization investment will increase in 2025, indicating continued focus on market expansion.

Headwinds

  • Commercialization efforts for ZURZUVAE may not be successful, potentially failing to generate expected revenues or achieve goals.
  • The number of women with PPD, unmet need, and market potential for ZURZUVAE may be smaller than anticipated.
  • ZURZUVAE may not achieve or maintain expected clinical benefit, clinical use, or market acceptance, or may face reimbursement, market access, or distribution issues.
  • Delays in clinical trials, unexpected data, or regulatory actions could impact timelines, costs, and development success.
  • Adverse events, collaboration issues, or higher-than-expected costs could negatively affect business and cash usage.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-5.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

19 / 44 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-47.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
Q1 2025-4.1%-5.7%-15.0%
Q4 2024-0.4%-0.8%+7.2%
Q3 2024-24.6%-29.1%-35.2%
Q2 2024-9.6%-17.2%-22.1%
Q1 2024-2.2%-0.6%-19.4%
Q4 2023+10.4%+1.3%-13.2%
Q3 2023-10.2%-17.1%+1.3%
Q2 2023-47.6%-39.7%-42.8%
Q1 2023-2.4%+0.9%+1.9%
Q4 2022+0.9%-5.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022-5.0%+5.0%+16.5%
Q2 2022+4.6%+21.6%+12.8%
Q1 2022+4.9%-12.2%+12.6%
Q4 2021+12.4%+12.3%-1.0%
Q3 2021+11.2%+6.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-4.0%-5.1%+9.0%
Q1 2021-10.3%
Q4 2020+4.0%
Q3 2020-0.6%
Q2 2020+1.3%
Q1 2020-4.1%
Q4 2019-26.2%
Q3 2019-0.2%
Q2 2019+7.4%
Q1 2019+0.3%
Q4 2018-8.2%
Q3 2018+3.0%
Q2 2018-0.7%
Q1 2018+1.2%
Q4 2017+0.2%
Q3 2017+11.7%
Q2 2017+7.7%
Q1 2017-2.7%
Q4 2016+0.6%
Q3 2016+0.5%
Q2 2016-13.3%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-4.8%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014-5.2%
Q2 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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