NASDAQ$PRCH
Porch Group Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings
Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Porch Group's third quarter results reflected a revenue increase of 20% year-over-year, with significant impacts from weather and housing market conditions.
Porch Group reported a 20% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $75.4 million for the third quarter of 2022. The company faced macroeconomic headwinds, including weather-related events like Hurricane Ian, which impacted insurance claims costs and overall profitability, resulting in a GAAP net loss of $86.4 million, which includes a $57.1 million goodwill and intangible impairment. Despite these challenges, Porch Group is focusing on long-term growth and anticipates Adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of 2023.
- Total revenue reached $75.4 million, a $12.6 million increase from Q3 2021.
- Volatile weather and inflation-related insurance claims increased cost of revenue.
- GAAP net loss totaled $86.4 million, impacted by a $57.1 million goodwill and intangible impairment.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss totaled $(13.0) million, or -17.2% of total revenue.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Porch · Revenue · Quarterly
$75.4M
Forward guidance
Porch Group updated its full year 2022 financial outlook, expecting revenue of approximately $275 million, Vertical Software revenue of approximately $154 million, Insurance Revenue of approximately $121 million, Revenue Less Cost of Revenue of approximately $175 million, Adj. EBITDA to be greater than -$48.0M, and 2022 Gross Written Premium of approximately $520 million.
Tailwinds
- Tracking towards Adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of 2023
- Actively engaged in solutions to improve the capital efficiency and lower volatility at our insurance business
- Making progress on key initiatives to position us for continued strong growth anticipated throughout 2023
- Utilizing Porch Group's proprietary data in insurance pricing after filing and receiving approval from 5 states
- Home warranty launched in the State of Florida, now offering warranties across 49 states
Headwinds
- Lower-than-expected home sales
- Worse-than-expected weather, including Hurricane Ian
- Higher insurance claims costs
- Revenue ~$290M (previous guidance) to Revenue ~$275M (updated guidance)
- Adj. EBITDA1~-10% and > -$30.0M (previous guidance) to Adj. EBITDA1 ~-17% and >-$48.0M (updated guidance)
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022
+8.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+11.8%
Avg return
5 days after
+18.4%
Avg return
30 days after
67%
16 / 24 earnings
Positive
+74.1%
Q4 2024
Best reaction
-36.5%
Q3 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.4% | +20.7% | +21.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +1.0% | -4.3% | -11.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +67.4% | +67.0% | +71.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | +74.1% | +82.6% | +95.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | +58.8% | +47.8% | +141.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | -32.4% | -26.0% | -26.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | +4.3% | -14.8% | -41.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | +22.0% | +26.3% | +44.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | +37.4% | +50.7% | +211.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | -9.5% | -12.7% | -36.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | +26.8% | +22.4% | +37.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | -25.5% | -32.6% | -27.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | -36.5% | -31.5% | +18.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +9.9% | +21.8% | -3.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | +2.0% | +30.3% | -2.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | -20.9% | +15.8% | -19.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +8.0% | +2.9% | -29.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | -9.9% | -17.1% | -0.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +6.5% | +16.3% | +20.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.3% | +5.0% | -20.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.2% | +7.0% | -20.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.9% | +0.2% | +11.3% | |
| Q1 2020 | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.5% | +4.2% | +6.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2019 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2019 | — | — | — |
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