NASDAQ$PRCH

Porch Group Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Porch Group's third quarter results reflected a revenue increase of 20% year-over-year, with significant impacts from weather and housing market conditions.

Porch Group reported a 20% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $75.4 million for the third quarter of 2022. The company faced macroeconomic headwinds, including weather-related events like Hurricane Ian, which impacted insurance claims costs and overall profitability, resulting in a GAAP net loss of $86.4 million, which includes a $57.1 million goodwill and intangible impairment. Despite these challenges, Porch Group is focusing on long-term growth and anticipates Adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of 2023.

  • Total revenue reached $75.4 million, a $12.6 million increase from Q3 2021.
  • Volatile weather and inflation-related insurance claims increased cost of revenue.
  • GAAP net loss totaled $86.4 million, impacted by a $57.1 million goodwill and intangible impairment.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss totaled $(13.0) million, or -17.2% of total revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$75.4M

Previous: $62.8M+20.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.30

Previous: -$0.15-100.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.99M

Previous: -$588K-237.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$88.4M

Previous: -$5.69M-1454.0%
Net Income

-$86.4M

Previous: -$5.1M-1594.3%
Operating Income

-$84.9M

Previous: -$12.6M-573.1%
Gross Profit

$42.1M

Previous: $43.6M-3.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$260M

Previous: $410M-36.6%
Total Assets

$1.07B

Previous: $1.05B+2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.09M

Previous: $5.88M-13.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Porch · Revenue · Quarterly

$75.4M

Q3 2022+20.1%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Porch Group updated its full year 2022 financial outlook, expecting revenue of approximately $275 million, Vertical Software revenue of approximately $154 million, Insurance Revenue of approximately $121 million, Revenue Less Cost of Revenue of approximately $175 million, Adj. EBITDA to be greater than -$48.0M, and 2022 Gross Written Premium of approximately $520 million.

Tailwinds

  • Tracking towards Adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of 2023
  • Actively engaged in solutions to improve the capital efficiency and lower volatility at our insurance business
  • Making progress on key initiatives to position us for continued strong growth anticipated throughout 2023
  • Utilizing Porch Group's proprietary data in insurance pricing after filing and receiving approval from 5 states
  • Home warranty launched in the State of Florida, now offering warranties across 49 states

Headwinds

  • Lower-than-expected home sales
  • Worse-than-expected weather, including Hurricane Ian
  • Higher insurance claims costs
  • Revenue ~$290M (previous guidance) to Revenue ~$275M (updated guidance)
  • Adj. EBITDA1~-10% and > -$30.0M (previous guidance) to Adj. EBITDA1 ~-17% and >-$48.0M (updated guidance)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+8.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+11.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+18.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+74.1%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-36.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%+20.7%+21.3%
Q3 2025+1.0%-4.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+67.4%+67.0%+71.3%
Q4 2024+74.1%+82.6%+95.0%
Q3 2024+58.8%+47.8%+141.7%
Q2 2024-32.4%-26.0%-26.0%
Q1 2024+4.3%-14.8%-41.2%
Q4 2023+22.0%+26.3%+44.7%
Q3 2023+37.4%+50.7%+211.6%
Q2 2023-9.5%-12.7%-36.3%
Q1 2023+26.8%+22.4%+37.6%
Q4 2022-25.5%-32.6%-27.2%
Q3 2022-36.5%-31.5%+18.8%
Q2 2022+9.9%+21.8%-3.1%
Q1 2022+2.0%+30.3%-2.0%
Q4 2021-20.9%+15.8%-19.9%
Q3 2021+8.0%+2.9%-29.8%
Q2 2021-9.9%-17.1%-0.2%
Q1 2021+6.5%+16.3%+20.8%
Q2 2020+7.3%+5.0%-20.7%
Q4 2020+5.2%+7.0%-20.5%
Q3 2020+0.9%+0.2%+11.3%
Q1 2020+0.0%+0.0%-0.6%
Q4 2019+1.5%+4.2%+6.4%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro