NASDAQ$PRCH

Porch Group Inc. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong operating execution in Q1, increasing full year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance.

Porch Group, Inc. reported first quarter results with total revenue of $115.4 million, a 32% increase compared to the prior year. GAAP net loss was $13.4 million, an improvement of $25.4 million, and Adjusted EBITDA Loss was $16.8 million, an improvement of $5.1 million compared to the prior year.

  • Total revenue increased by 32% year-over-year to $115.4 million, driven by the Insurance segment.
  • GAAP net loss improved by $25.4 million year-over-year, reaching $13.4 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Loss improved by $5.1 million year-over-year, totaling $16.8 million.
  • The company increased full year Adjusted EBITDA profitability guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$115M

Previous: $87.4M+32.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.21

Previous: -$0.39+46.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$41K

Previous: -$356K+88.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$13.4M

Previous: -$39.1M+65.7%
Net Income

-$13.4M

Previous: -$38.7M+65.5%
Operating Income

-$34.7M

Previous: -$38.5M+10.0%
Gross Profit

$39.6M

Previous: $36.1M+9.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$279M

Previous: $179M+55.6%
Total Assets

$881M

Previous: $1.02B-13.3%
R&D Expense

$13.9M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5.37M

Previous: $6.89M-22.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Porch · Revenue · Quarterly

$115M

Q1 2024+32.1%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Porch Group provides full year 2024 guidance based on current market conditions and expectations as of the date of this release. Full year 2024 guidance is as follows: Revenue $450m to $470m Growth of 5% to 9% Revenue Less Cost of Revenue $230m to $240m Adjusted EBITDA $2.5m to $12.5m Gross Written Premium $460m to $480m

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be between $450 million and $470 million, representing a growth of 5% to 9%.
  • Revenue less cost of revenue is projected to be between $230 million and $240 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $2.5 million and $12.5 million.
  • Gross Written Premium is expected to be between $460 million and $480 million.
  • Guidance assumes a 63% gross loss ratio for the full year 2024, in line with the 5-year weighted average.

Headwinds

  • Catastrophic weather in excess of historical experiences, would create downside to the lower end of the range.
  • The company's ability to achieve and maintain future profitability.
  • Economic conditions, especially those affecting the housing, insurance, and financial markets.
  • Existing and developing federal and state laws and regulations, including with respect to insurance, warranty, privacy, information security, data protection, and taxation.
  • Reliance on strategic, proprietary relationships to provide us with access to personal data and product information, and the ability to use such data and information to increase transaction volume and attract and retain customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+8.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+11.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+18.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+74.1%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-36.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%+20.7%+21.3%
Q3 2025+1.0%-4.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+67.4%+67.0%+71.3%
Q4 2024+74.1%+82.6%+95.0%
Q3 2024+58.8%+47.8%+141.7%
Q2 2024-32.4%-26.0%-26.0%
Q1 2024+4.3%-14.8%-41.2%
Q4 2023+22.0%+26.3%+44.7%
Q3 2023+37.4%+50.7%+211.6%
Q2 2023-9.5%-12.7%-36.3%
Q1 2023+26.8%+22.4%+37.6%
Q4 2022-25.5%-32.6%-27.2%
Q3 2022-36.5%-31.5%+18.8%
Q2 2022+9.9%+21.8%-3.1%
Q1 2022+2.0%+30.3%-2.0%
Q4 2021-20.9%+15.8%-19.9%
Q3 2021+8.0%+2.9%-29.8%
Q2 2021-9.9%-17.1%-0.2%
Q1 2021+6.5%+16.3%+20.8%
Q2 2020+7.3%+5.0%-20.7%
Q4 2020+5.2%+7.0%-20.5%
Q3 2020+0.9%+0.2%+11.3%
Q1 2020+0.0%+0.0%-0.6%
Q4 2019+1.5%+4.2%+6.4%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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