NASDAQ$PCAR

Paccar Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PACCAR reported good annual revenues and profits driven by strong truck deliveries and aftermarket sales

PACCAR reported Q4 2020 revenues of $5.57 billion and net income of $405.8 million ($1.17 per diluted share), compared to revenues of $6.12 billion and earnings of $531.3 million ($1.53 per diluted share) in Q4 2019. The results reflect PACCAR's premium-quality products and services, excellent operational efficiency and strong aftermarket parts sales.

  • PACCAR achieved quarterly revenues of $5.57 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • The company earned $405.8 million ($1.17 per diluted share) in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • PACCAR Parts achieved record fourth quarter pre-tax income of $222.5 million, 8% higher than the $205.2 million earned in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • PACCAR Financial Services (PFS) achieved fourth quarter 2020 pretax income of $63.8 million, compared to $68.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.14B

Previous: $5.71B-10.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.78

Previous: $1.02-23.5%
Capital Expenditures

$124M

Previous: $187M-33.5%
Free Cash Flow

$671M

Previous: $757M-11.4%
Net Income

$406M

Previous: $531M-23.6%
Operating Income

$522M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$746M

Previous: $928M-19.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.54B

No prior period
Total Assets

$28.3B

Previous: $28.4B-0.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Paccar · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.14B

Q4 2020-10.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Paccar · $5.12B total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Truck
    $4.04B-13.8%
  • Parts
    $1.07B+8.1%

Forward guidance

PACCAR has increased its estimate of 2021 U.S. and Canada Class 8 truck industry retail sales to a range of 250,000-280,000 trucks. European truck industry registrations in the above 16-tonne market in 2021 will be in the range of 250,000-280,000 trucks. The South American above 16-tonne truck market is projected to be in a range of 100,000-110,000 trucks in 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Strong rebound in manufacturing.
  • Increase in housing starts.
  • Growth in automotive production.
  • Rise in consumer spending.
  • Good freight tonnage.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

29 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-9.3%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.3%-8.7%-12.1%
Q4 2025-0.1%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2025+2.5%+2.7%+0.1%
Q2 2025-1.0%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%-2.3%+2.4%
Q4 2024-2.4%+0.9%-4.0%
Q3 2024-5.3%-3.4%+4.1%
Q2 2024-9.3%-9.0%-12.6%
Q1 2024-6.4%-7.8%-6.9%
Q4 2023+3.9%+4.8%+13.8%
Q3 2023+3.9%+2.4%+12.1%
Q2 2023-4.6%-3.8%-5.0%
Q1 2023-0.9%+1.2%-3.7%
Q4 2022+8.4%+8.2%+7.7%
Q3 2022+0.8%+4.7%+15.1%
Q2 2022+3.5%+6.4%+7.5%
Q1 2022-2.3%-3.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+3.0%+2.8%+0.9%
Q3 2021-1.7%+2.7%+1.7%
Q2 2021-4.8%-4.5%-6.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.7%-2.1%
Q4 2020-1.6%-6.9%-5.3%
Q3 2020-0.2%+1.7%-1.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+7.6%+9.4%
Q1 2020-1.6%+0.4%+1.5%
Q4 2019+1.3%-1.3%-9.8%
Q3 2019+2.9%+5.3%+9.3%
Q2 2019+4.3%+3.6%-6.8%
Q1 2019-0.7%+0.1%-4.6%
Q4 2018+5.6%+6.0%+10.6%
Q3 2018-9.2%-8.6%-0.9%
Q2 2018+2.0%+5.0%+5.9%
Q1 2018-6.5%-7.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-5.6%-8.1%-12.6%
Q3 2017-5.9%-3.7%-9.1%
Q2 2017-0.8%-1.4%-7.7%
Q1 2017-3.5%-1.5%-7.4%
Q4 2016+1.5%+1.3%-0.4%
Q3 2016-1.9%-1.7%+10.0%
Q2 2016+5.7%+5.5%+7.2%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015-2.1%
Q2 2015+1.6%
Q1 2015+5.5%
Q4 2014-4.1%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014-1.4%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-6.0%
Q3 2013-4.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013-0.1%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012+9.5%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q3 2011+1.0%
Q2 2011-4.8%
Q1 2011+3.0%
Q4 2008-2.5%
Q4 2010-2.5%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q1 2009-7.0%
Q1 2010+0.0%
Q4 2007+0.9%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q2 2009-1.7%
Q2 2008-1.7%

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