NASDAQ$PCAR

Paccar Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PACCAR reported record annual revenues and profits for 2019 and achieved net income for 81 consecutive years.

PACCAR reported Q4 2019 revenues of $6.12 billion and net income of $531.3 million ($1.53 per diluted share).

  • PACCAR achieved quarterly revenues of $6.12 billion in the fourth quarter 2019, compared to the $6.28 billion reported in the same period in 2018.
  • The company earned $531.3 million ($1.53 per diluted share) in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • PACCAR Parts revenue of $993.9 million.
  • PACCAR Financial Services earned $68.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.71B

Previous: $5.93B-3.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.02

Previous: $1.10-7.3%
Parts Pretax Income

$205M

Previous: $194M+5.9%
Financial Services Pretax Income

$68.1M

Previous: $87.2M-21.9%
Capital Expenditures

$187M

Previous: $123M+51.7%
Free Cash Flow

$757M

Previous: $942M-19.6%
Net Income

$531M

Previous: $578M-8.1%
Gross Profit

$928M

Previous: $963M-3.6%
Total Assets

$28.4B

Previous: $25.5B+11.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Paccar · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.71B

Q4 2019-3.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Paccar · $5.69B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Truck
    $4.69B
  • Parts
    $994M

Forward guidance

U.S. and Canada Class 8 truck industry retail sales are expected to be in a range of 230,000-260,000 trucks in 2020. It is estimated that European truck industry registrations in the above 16-tonne market in 2020 will be another excellent year in the range of 260,000-290,000 trucks. The South American above 16-tonne truck market is projected to be in a range of 100,000-110,000 trucks in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • The North American and European economies are projected to continue growing in 2020.
  • PACCAR is investing for long-term growth in aerodynamic truck models.
  • PACCAR is investing in integrated powertrains including diesel, electric, hybrid, and hydrogen fuel cell technologies
  • PACCAR is investing in advanced driver assistance systems
  • PACCAR is investing in connected vehicle services and next-generation manufacturing and distribution capabilities.

Headwinds

  • Actual results may differ materially from those included in these statements due to a variety of factors.
  • Freight tonnage grew 3.3% percent in the U.S. in 2019.
  • PFS achieved fourth quarter 2019 pretax income of $68.1 million, compared to $87.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • PACCAR invested $323.2 million in capital projects and research and development.
  • PACCAR repurchased 1.68 million of its common shares for $110.2 million during 2019.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

29 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-9.3%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.3%-8.7%-12.1%
Q4 2025-0.1%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2025+2.5%+2.7%+0.1%
Q2 2025-1.0%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%-2.3%+2.4%
Q4 2024-2.4%+0.9%-4.0%
Q3 2024-5.3%-3.4%+4.1%
Q2 2024-9.3%-9.0%-12.6%
Q1 2024-6.4%-7.8%-6.9%
Q4 2023+3.9%+4.8%+13.8%
Q3 2023+3.9%+2.4%+12.1%
Q2 2023-4.6%-3.8%-5.0%
Q1 2023-0.9%+1.2%-3.7%
Q4 2022+8.4%+8.2%+7.7%
Q3 2022+0.8%+4.7%+15.1%
Q2 2022+3.5%+6.4%+7.5%
Q1 2022-2.3%-3.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+3.0%+2.8%+0.9%
Q3 2021-1.7%+2.7%+1.7%
Q2 2021-4.8%-4.5%-6.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.7%-2.1%
Q4 2020-1.6%-6.9%-5.3%
Q3 2020-0.2%+1.7%-1.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+7.6%+9.4%
Q1 2020-1.6%+0.4%+1.5%
Q4 2019+1.3%-1.3%-9.8%
Q3 2019+2.9%+5.3%+9.3%
Q2 2019+4.3%+3.6%-6.8%
Q1 2019-0.7%+0.1%-4.6%
Q4 2018+5.6%+6.0%+10.6%
Q3 2018-9.2%-8.6%-0.9%
Q2 2018+2.0%+5.0%+5.9%
Q1 2018-6.5%-7.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-5.6%-8.1%-12.6%
Q3 2017-5.9%-3.7%-9.1%
Q2 2017-0.8%-1.4%-7.7%
Q1 2017-3.5%-1.5%-7.4%
Q4 2016+1.5%+1.3%-0.4%
Q3 2016-1.9%-1.7%+10.0%
Q2 2016+5.7%+5.5%+7.2%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015-2.1%
Q2 2015+1.6%
Q1 2015+5.5%
Q4 2014-4.1%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014-1.4%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-6.0%
Q3 2013-4.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013-0.1%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012+9.5%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q3 2011+1.0%
Q2 2011-4.8%
Q1 2011+3.0%
Q4 2008-2.5%
Q4 2010-2.5%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q1 2009-7.0%
Q1 2010+0.0%
Q4 2007+0.9%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q2 2009-1.7%
Q2 2008-1.7%

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