NASDAQ$NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2022 and reiterated financial guidance for 2022.

Neurocrine Biosciences reported first quarter net product sales of $303 million for INGREZZA. The company's GAAP net income was $14 million, or $0.14 per share, and non-GAAP net income was $30 million, or $0.30 per share.

  • INGREZZA's first quarter net product sales were $303 million with total prescriptions (TRx) of approximately 57,600.
  • Net product sales and TRx grew 32% and 33%, respectively, vs. first quarter of 2021.
  • The company completed its salesforce expansion in April, establishing separate psychiatry, neurology, and long-term care teams.
  • Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation (MTPC) received Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare approval for DYSVAL® (valbenazine) for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia in Japan.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$311M

Previous: $237M+31.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.30

Previous: $0.49-38.8%
GAAP R&D Expense

$102M

Previous: $73.2M+39.6%
GAAP SG&A Expense

$201M

Previous: $129M+55.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.6M

Previous: -$4.5M-68.9%
Free Cash Flow

$6.3M

Previous: $27.6M-77.2%
Net Income

$13.9M

Previous: $32.1M-56.7%
Operating Income

$3.1M

Previous: $31.5M-90.2%
Gross Profit

$306M

Previous: $234M+30.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$270M

Previous: $353M-23.4%
Total Assets

$2.14B

Previous: $1.85B+16.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$37M

Previous: $32.9M+12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Neurocrine Biosciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$311M

Q1 2022+31.3%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Neurocrine Biosciences · $303M total across 1 segment · Q1 2022

  • INGREZZA Net Product Sales
    $303M+31.7%

Forward guidance

The company reiterated its 2022 financial guidance for INGREZZA net product sales of $1.25 - $1.35 billion, GAAP R&D expense of $380 - $415 million, Non-GAAP R&D expense of $325 - $360 million, GAAP SG&A expense of $720 - $735 million, and Non-GAAP SG&A expense of $605 - $620 million.

Tailwinds

  • INGREZZA sales guidance for fiscal 2022 reflects approximately 20% year-over-year growth, at the mid-point of the range.
  • Sales guidance is based on recent trends.
  • Sales guidance is based on an anticipated improving COVID-19 related environment throughout the year.
  • Sales guidance is based on benefit from the company's recently completed salesforce expansion during the second half of 2022.
  • The company plans to submit a supplemental New Drug Application to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in the second half of 2022.

Headwinds

  • If new COVID-19 related disruptions emerge, the Company’s ability to meet these expectations could be negatively impacted.
  • GAAP R&D guidance includes amounts for milestones that are probable of achievement or have been achieved.
  • GAAP R&D Guidance includes approximately $7 million of milestone expense for the Xenon collaboration which was achieved in January 2022.
  • Non-GAAP guidance adjusted to exclude estimated non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $60 million in R&D.
  • Non-GAAP guidance adjusted to exclude estimated non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $110 million in SG&A.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+17.2%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-18.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%+11.5%+21.3%
Q4 2025-10.4%-7.0%-5.6%
Q3 2025-6.3%-3.7%+3.2%
Q1 2025+8.3%+5.4%+13.5%
Q4 2024-18.5%-22.1%-24.9%
Q3 2024+3.5%+3.7%+9.1%
Q2 2024+8.2%+2.9%-10.2%
Q1 2024+1.7%+3.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023-6.0%-8.8%-2.6%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.0%+8.8%
Q2 2023+2.2%-0.3%+6.9%
Q1 2023-7.4%-5.4%-10.8%
Q4 2022-5.6%-6.2%-11.1%
Q3 2022+6.0%+5.8%+9.7%
Q2 2022+10.6%+14.5%+9.5%
Q1 2022-3.9%-14.6%+7.7%
Q4 2021+8.7%+7.9%+12.2%
Q3 2021-9.3%-11.6%-23.4%
Q2 2021-2.8%-6.6%+0.4%
Q1 2021-2.3%-0.3%+3.2%
Q4 2020+3.1%+2.6%-17.3%
Q3 2020-9.1%-4.5%-4.5%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%-3.7%
Q1 2020+7.0%+11.6%+13.8%
Q4 2019+2.0%+3.5%-5.4%
Q3 2019-1.2%+6.9%+14.4%
Q2 2019+9.7%+7.5%+11.3%
Q1 2019-6.7%+2.0%+1.4%
Q4 2018-4.6%-4.6%-12.9%
Q3 2018-8.0%-9.0%-25.5%
Q2 2018+14.7%+17.2%+23.3%
Q1 2018+3.3%+1.5%+17.1%
Q4 2017+3.9%+3.7%+11.6%
Q3 2017+17.2%+20.0%+18.5%
Q2 2017+10.2%+10.5%+17.4%
Q1 2017+3.4%+3.8%-15.3%
Q4 2016+0.7%+4.5%+7.2%
Q3 2016-10.0%-1.1%-3.1%
Q2 2016-0.7%-3.6%-2.0%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015-3.7%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014-4.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+6.5%
Q3 2012-1.7%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012-3.2%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q4 2009-8.0%
Q3 2010+13.7%
Q3 2011+13.7%
Q4 2010-6.5%
Q2 2010-6.5%
Q2 2011-6.5%
Q1 2010-1.5%

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