NASDAQ$NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2020 and provided revised full-year 2020 financial expense guidance.

Neurocrine Biosciences reported strong first quarter 2020 results with INGREZZA net product sales of $231 million, representing a 69% year-over-year increase. The FDA approved ONGENTYS for Parkinson's disease, triggering a $20 million milestone. The company is in a strong financial position with over $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents and debt securities available-for-sale.

  • INGREZZA net product sales were $231 million, a 69% year-over-year increase.
  • ONGENTYS was approved by the FDA for Parkinson's disease, triggering a $20 million milestone.
  • GAAP net income was $37 million, or $0.39 per share, compared to a net loss of $102 million, or $1.12 per share in Q1 2019.
  • The company had over $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents and debt securities available-for-sale at the end of the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$237M

Previous: $138M+71.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: -$1.12+173.2%
GAAP R&D Expense

$58.3M

Previous: $37.7M+54.6%
GAAP SG&A Expense

$118M

Previous: $87.5M+34.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.3M

Previous: -$3.94M+67.0%
Free Cash Flow

$36.1M

Previous: -$106M+134.0%
Net Income

$37.4M

Previous: -$102M+136.6%
Operating Income

$58.9M

Previous: -$101M+158.3%
Gross Profit

$235M

Previous: $137M+71.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$187M

Previous: $72.8M+156.9%
Total Assets

$1.36B

Previous: $958M+42.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$22.8M

Previous: $15.8M+44.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Neurocrine Biosciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$237M

Q1 2020+71.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Neurocrine Biosciences · $231M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • INGREZZA Net Product Sales
    $231M+69.4%

Forward guidance

The company provided revised full-year 2020 financial expense guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Increased investment in R&D programs.
  • Continued investment in INGREZZA.
  • Marketing costs associated with the anticipated launch of ONGENTYS.
  • Meaningful investments across early stage programs including Voyager and Xenon collaborations.
  • Studies ongoing in three registrational and four mid-stage programs by the end of 2020.

Headwinds

  • GAAP-only guidance includes approximately $105 million of share-based compensation.
  • GAAP-only guidance includes a $20 million milestone to BIAL connected with the approval of ONGENTYS by the FDA.
  • GAAP-only guidance does not include any other potential milestones.
  • GAAP-only guidance does not include in-process research and development costs associated with current collaborations.
  • GAAP-only guidance does not include in-process research and development costs associated with future business development activities.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+17.2%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-18.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%+11.5%+21.3%
Q4 2025-10.4%-7.0%-5.6%
Q3 2025-6.3%-3.7%+3.2%
Q1 2025+8.3%+5.4%+13.5%
Q4 2024-18.5%-22.1%-24.9%
Q3 2024+3.5%+3.7%+9.1%
Q2 2024+8.2%+2.9%-10.2%
Q1 2024+1.7%+3.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023-6.0%-8.8%-2.6%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.0%+8.8%
Q2 2023+2.2%-0.3%+6.9%
Q1 2023-7.4%-5.4%-10.8%
Q4 2022-5.6%-6.2%-11.1%
Q3 2022+6.0%+5.8%+9.7%
Q2 2022+10.6%+14.5%+9.5%
Q1 2022-3.9%-14.6%+7.7%
Q4 2021+8.7%+7.9%+12.2%
Q3 2021-9.3%-11.6%-23.4%
Q2 2021-2.8%-6.6%+0.4%
Q1 2021-2.3%-0.3%+3.2%
Q4 2020+3.1%+2.6%-17.3%
Q3 2020-9.1%-4.5%-4.5%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%-3.7%
Q1 2020+7.0%+11.6%+13.8%
Q4 2019+2.0%+3.5%-5.4%
Q3 2019-1.2%+6.9%+14.4%
Q2 2019+9.7%+7.5%+11.3%
Q1 2019-6.7%+2.0%+1.4%
Q4 2018-4.6%-4.6%-12.9%
Q3 2018-8.0%-9.0%-25.5%
Q2 2018+14.7%+17.2%+23.3%
Q1 2018+3.3%+1.5%+17.1%
Q4 2017+3.9%+3.7%+11.6%
Q3 2017+17.2%+20.0%+18.5%
Q2 2017+10.2%+10.5%+17.4%
Q1 2017+3.4%+3.8%-15.3%
Q4 2016+0.7%+4.5%+7.2%
Q3 2016-10.0%-1.1%-3.1%
Q2 2016-0.7%-3.6%-2.0%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015-3.7%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014-4.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+6.5%
Q3 2012-1.7%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012-3.2%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q4 2009-8.0%
Q3 2010+13.7%
Q3 2011+13.7%
Q4 2010-6.5%
Q2 2010-6.5%
Q2 2011-6.5%
Q1 2010-1.5%

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